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Science, Strategy and War The Strategic Theory of ... - Boekje Pienter

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technology, is connected to the game <strong>of</strong> winning <strong>and</strong> losing, <strong>and</strong> how insight into thedynamics <strong>of</strong> science <strong>and</strong> engineering is useful for strategy. <strong>The</strong>y are all self-correcting <strong>and</strong>evolving systems. He has shown a new parallel once more between dynamics in disparatefields, substantiating not only that the ideas developed in the essay <strong>and</strong> subsequentpresentations are relevant for strategy, but also that strategic thinking should be infused withthese ideas <strong>and</strong> these dynamics. <strong>The</strong> hidden message for his audience is that, if organizationswant to survive in a highly dynamic environment, in peace-time as much as in war, they needto embrace uncertainty <strong>and</strong> novelty.Introduction<strong>The</strong> Essence <strong>of</strong> Winning <strong>and</strong> LosingOn 28 June 1995, two years before his death, Boyd finished the last addition to A Discourse.As the title suggests, it contains what Boyd considered at that moment the essence <strong>of</strong> hisopus. It is extremely brief, covering only five slides, including the title slide which depicts amounted knight. Yet it is also extremely important, for it contains the only graphicrepresentation <strong>of</strong> the OODA loop that up to this point Boyd has only described in words invarious sections <strong>of</strong> different presentations. And as Hammond concludes (referring to hisown involvement in Boyd’s ‘big squeeze’) it is a synthesis <strong>of</strong> all <strong>of</strong> Boyd’s work, from AerialAttack Study <strong>and</strong> OODA loops to his most recent interests in coevolution, socio-biology,genetic engineering, chaos theory, complexity, <strong>and</strong> non-linearity 109 . Boyd’s simple modelbelies its sophistication, Robert Polk noted in his short but eloquent assessment 110 .Indeed, in the five “key statements” <strong>of</strong> this presentation, Boyd manages to capture –<strong>and</strong> go back to – the arguments <strong>of</strong> some <strong>of</strong> the earliest literature he had studied in the earlyseventies, such as Piaget, Popper, Polanyi, Monod, Bronowski <strong>and</strong> Conant, while directlymarrying these once more to several <strong>of</strong> his key arguments <strong>and</strong> definitions he developed inPatterns, <strong>Strategic</strong> Game <strong>and</strong> Organic Design. He shows how the insights derived mainly fromlooking at military history, but inductively informed by the OODA loop idea <strong>and</strong> the themesfrom the essay, are conceptually related to the insights from <strong>Strategic</strong> Game <strong>and</strong> Organic Design,which find their basis much more in the sciences. <strong>The</strong>se key statements also constitute bothan explanation as well as a justification for the exp<strong>and</strong>ed OODA loop model that follows thestatements 111 :Key statementsWithout our genetic heritage, cultural traditions, <strong>and</strong> previous experiences, we donot possess an implicit repertoire <strong>of</strong> psychological skills shaped by environments <strong>and</strong>changes that have been previously experienced.Without analysis <strong>and</strong> synthesis, across a variety <strong>of</strong> domains or across a variety <strong>of</strong>competing/independent channels <strong>of</strong> information, we cannot evolve new repertoires todeal with unfamiliar phenomena or unforeseen change.109 Hammond (2001), p.188.110 Robert Polk, ‘A Critique <strong>of</strong> the Boyd <strong>The</strong>ory – Is it Relevant to the Army?’, Defense Analysis, Vol.16,No.3, p.259.111 <strong>The</strong> Essence <strong>of</strong> Winning <strong>and</strong> Losing, p.2.268

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