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2005 - 2006 - Pinsent Masons Water Yearbook 2012

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Responding to these challenges<br />

10<br />

PART 1: <strong>2005</strong>-<strong>2006</strong> OVERVIEW<br />

Improving the quality and extent of urban sewage treatment is the immediate priority, along with<br />

extending water treatment. Needs and official figures vary greatly, with some private sector<br />

sources believing that US$200-240 billion needs to be spent on this infrastructure by 2015.<br />

Official spending plans are laid out under a series of five year plans.<br />

Total forecast spending on environmental protection:<br />

9th five year plan, 1996-2000: US$43 billion<br />

10th five year plan, 2001-<strong>2005</strong>: US$84 billion<br />

11th five year plan, <strong>2006</strong>-2010: US$157 billion<br />

12th five year plan, 2011-2015: In preparation<br />

It is understood that the 12th five year plan will seek to increase urban sewage treatment to at<br />

least 60% and preferably to 70-80%. It will also need to address water scarcity issues in tandem<br />

with further urbanisation and industrial development.<br />

China has earmarked $33 billion of the five year plan’s spending on water and wastewater<br />

treatment projects between 2001 and <strong>2005</strong>. Under the 10th five year plan, 11% of funding is<br />

earmarked from central government, 34% from local and provincial government and 55% from<br />

industry.<br />

But by the end of 2002, just 28% of the plan had been realised and current expectations are for<br />

70% of planned total to be realised by the end of <strong>2005</strong>.<br />

Some capital spending estimates and forecasts, 2004-2010<br />

US$ billion Market size<br />

2004 15.0-18.7<br />

<strong>2005</strong> 16.6-22.7<br />

2010 30.0-33.2<br />

Adapted from Frost + Sullivan, Helmut Kaiser Consultancy<br />

Still an importer’s market<br />

Some 60-65% of environmental protection hardware, including water and wastewater treatment<br />

equipment is imported at present, and although China is keen to develop local capabilities, the<br />

scale and timetables for investment mean that this remains very much an importer’s market.<br />

The scale of foreign activity is best illustrated in the water treatment sector where Degrémont<br />

believes 120 million people are supplied with water from facilities using its technology and Purac<br />

supplies a further 40 million.<br />

At a symposium on the development of urban water-related projects in October <strong>2005</strong>, Wang<br />

Guangtao, the Chinese Construction Minister, reiterated the importance of foreign investment.<br />

Total investment needs for wastewater were estimated to be in excess of RMB500 billion<br />

(US$60 billion).<br />

Tariffs, cost recovery and tariff reform<br />

<strong>Water</strong> provision has been subsidised in order to ensure its universal availability in urban areas,<br />

with formal tariff charging only starting in 1985. Currently, water tariffs account for 0.5% of<br />

household expenditure and there is no effective constraint upon its consumption. In 2004 the<br />

Ministry of <strong>Water</strong> Resources estimated that China's economy is 85% below the global efficiency<br />

average in water consumption. This is in part due to outdated plant and management<br />

techniques, but mainly as a result of artificially low water fees.<br />

<strong>Pinsent</strong> <strong>Masons</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Yearbook</strong> <strong>2005</strong>-<strong>2006</strong>

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