2005 - 2006 - Pinsent Masons Water Yearbook 2012

PART 1: 2005-2006 OVERVIEW
In 1999, 5% of the world’s population was served to some extent by the private sector. By late
2005, this had increased to 9% of 6,270 million people (2003 population data).
Current and forecast extent of private sector participation
Million people 2005 2015
Western Europe 179.1 45% 210.0 52%
C&E Europe 24.5 7% 60.0 18%
ME & Africa 30.6 3% 105.0 8%
South Asia 3.3 0% 45.0 3%
Central Asia 0.0 0% 5.0 5%
South East Asia 146.7 7% 380.0 17%
Oceania 4.6 18% 10.0 35%
North America 79.3 19% 120.0 25%
Latin America 94.5 17% 150.0 24%
World total 562.6 9% 1085.0 15%
Our revised forecast for the extent of PSP in 2015 has a fall of 40 million from the 1,025 million
forecast made in 2004 (16% of the global population) on top of a 2004 decrease of 35 million
from the 2003 forecast of 1,160 million people (17% of the 2015 population).
This is due to the North America forecast falling by 60 million, and only being partially offset by a
10 million increase in Western Europe, 5 million for Central & Eastern Europe and 10 million for
South Asia.
The figures for privatisation to date demonstrate the variable progress that the private sector
has made. In Western Europe, private sector service provision is already becoming
commonplace, which can be related to the global domination of international markets by a
number of companies from this region. The forecasts for most other regions with the exception
of the Americas are on the cautious side for the time being. What is notable is the gap between
the estimation of the addressable populations in the Americas and the extent of privatisation to
date.
What has been consistently evident over the past years is that nothing can be taken for granted
when it comes to assessing market developments and prospects. The Russian Federation was
seen as ‘unsuitable before perhaps 2050’ as recently as three years ago. Now a market is
emerging, especially in Moscow and St. Petersburg. India was beyond most boundaries,
characterised by blocked initiatives and mothballed plans. Now not only have a number of
contracts been awarded since 2002, but also the new Congress Government has made it clear
that PSP is to be highlighted as a method for mobilising new resources.
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Pinsent Masons Water Yearbook 2005-2006