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2005 - 2006 - Pinsent Masons Water Yearbook 2012

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Country Market Development, Prospects and Prognosis<br />

40<br />

PART 1: <strong>2005</strong>-<strong>2006</strong> OVERVIEW<br />

The addressable population is the percentage of the population (2003 figures) that the author<br />

believes have a better than even chance of being served with privatised water and/or sewerage<br />

provision by 2015. The year 2015 may appear a long way off, but it does allow for current<br />

political, regulatory and market trends to be translated into realistic market developments, while<br />

allowing for five years of contract award and implementation slippage for political and economic<br />

changes.<br />

The table below consists of a set of estimates for the current extent of private sector<br />

participation in water and sewerage services for the main markets, along with forecasts for the<br />

potential extent of private sector penetration by 2015.<br />

Western Europe Served by the private Potential for PPP service<br />

sector in <strong>2005</strong><br />

by 2015<br />

<strong>Water</strong> Sewerage <strong>Water</strong> Sewerage<br />

Austria 7% 0% 10% 15%<br />

Belgium 3% 40% 3% 57%<br />

Denmark 0% 1% 0% 2%<br />

Finland 0% 1% 0% 2%<br />

France 76% 57% 82% 72%<br />

Germany 17% 14% 25% 29%<br />

Greece 44% 37% 45% 45%<br />

Ireland 1% 36% 21% 43%<br />

Italy 41% 29% 52% 47%<br />

Netherlands 0% 11% 0% 10%<br />

Norway 1% 5% 5% 10%<br />

Portugal 19% 16% 56% 51%<br />

Spain 45% 52% 63% 56%<br />

Sweden 1% 1% 5% 5%<br />

Switzerland 0% 0% 0% 0%<br />

United Kingdom 90% 93% 96% 98%<br />

Central & Eastern Served by the private Potential for PPP service<br />

Europe<br />

sector in <strong>2005</strong><br />

by 2015<br />

<strong>Water</strong> Sewerage <strong>Water</strong> Sewerage<br />

Albania 20% 19% 24% 30%<br />

Armenia 30% 0% 37% 17%<br />

Azerbaijan 0% 0% 5% 11%<br />

Bulgaria 15% 15% 42% 49%<br />

Croatia 0% 17% 22% 27%<br />

Czech Republic 68% 65% 84% 79%<br />

Estonia 31% 31% 38% 38%<br />

Hungary 26% 25% 31% 36%<br />

Latvia 0% 0% 23% 23%<br />

Lithuania 0% 0% 15% 0%<br />

Poland 2% 2% 10% 13%<br />

Romania 11% 0% 19% 17%<br />

Russian<br />

4% 1% 18% 12%<br />

Federation<br />

Slovakia 3% 3% 28% 28%<br />

Slovenia 0% 10% 26% 26%<br />

Ukraine 0% 0% 5% 5%<br />

<strong>Pinsent</strong> <strong>Masons</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Yearbook</strong> <strong>2005</strong>-<strong>2006</strong>

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