SODBatch A&B SPM Comments co-chair response final ... - ipcc-wg3

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IPCC WGIII Fourth Assessment Report, Second Order Draft
7 A 8 3 8 12 These GDP results cannot stand alone. The least one can do to
improve these informations is to explain how important
assumptions made are to the results, especially assumptions about
capital mobility, use of credits from Joint Implementation and
Clean Development Mechanism and oil prices. Depending on these
assumptions the GDP impact will vary greatly. This can among
other studies be seen from the study made by the EU Commissions
research unit IPTS (Analysis of Post-2012 Climate Policy
Scenarios with Limited Participation, June 2005. Study is included)
and the study made by COWI for UNICE (Competitiveness and EU
Climate Change Policy, october 2004. Study is included in the
email).
(Helle Juhler-Kristoffersen, Confederation of Danish Industries)
7 A 8 3 8 12 These GDP results cannot stand alone. The least one can do to
improve this information is to explain how important assumptions
made are to the results, especially assumptions about capital
mobility, use of credits from Joint Implementation and Clean
Development Mechanism and oil prices. Depending on these
assumptions the GDP impact will vary greatly. This can among
other studies be seen from the study made by the EU Commission
research unit IPTS (Analysis of Post-2012 Climate Policy
Scenarios with Limited Participation, June 2005. Study is included)
and the study made by COWI for UNICE (Competitiveness and EU
Climate Change Policy, October 2004).
(,)
7 A 8 3 8 4 Insert new SPM Fig = Fig 3.28 (Relationship between cumulative
emissions reductions and GDP loss, Chapter 3, p.62) and new
reference to this new chart at end of first sentence in line 4. This
new figure is easier to understand, covers two different timeperiods,
and is less intimidating for those readers who do not know the
various model runs charted in the exisiting Figure SPM.5. It also
re-inforces the central message of this section. Existing Fig.5
should, however be retained, together with its reference.
(Pat Finnegan, Grian)
Expert Review of Second-Order-Draft
Confidential, Do Not Cite or Quote
Response suggested by cochairs
DISCUSS if something can be
said on the effects of limited
participation, because most
(all?) studies have assumed full
participation and full trade
Wait for proposals ch 3
Identical A-563
REJ; problem with fig 3.28 is
that results are all over the place
and no reasonable conclusions
can be drwn from it; the reason
being that studies with vary
different assumptions are
thrown together
Action
for
chapter
Considerations
by the writing
team
3 Accept. Text to
be revised to
give greater
qualification to
statement
(3)
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