SODBatch A&B SPM Comments co-chair response final ... - ipcc-wg3

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Comments
IPCC WGIII Fourth Assessment Report, Second Order Draft
11 B 11 28 11 35
(Government of U.S. Department of State)
The assumption on the loss of GDP by oil-exporting countries on
the basis of lower oil price is probably not so well established.
(Government of Switzerland)
11 B 11 28 11 28 Para speaks of many things that are not defined, e.g. leakage, 5-
20% of what?, spill over. Some interpret leakage as the increasing
and spill over as the decreasing effect of Annex I action on nonannex
I countries’ emissions.
(Government of European Community / European Commission)
11 B 11 28 11 28 For the Policy Maker/Lay Reader, define or explain briefly the
term “carbon leakage” and why in footnote 10 there would be an
“increase in emissions” due to “implementation of reductions in
Annex I”. Use clarifying construction. U.S. Government
(Government of U.S. Department of State)
11 A 11 29 11 29 replace "but could be lower due to diffusion of low-emission
technology" by "but would be less if low-emissions technology is
effectively diffused"
(Government of The Netherlands)
11 A 11 30 11 32 The affirmation: ¨(oil-exporting countries can expect lower oil
prices and GDP loss but results depend on aassumptions about
annex - I policies and oil exporting country responses)¨ - isn´t in
accord with actual situation and the future perspectives.
(CRISTOBAL FELIX DIAZ MOREJON, MINISTRY OF
SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT)
11 A 11 30 11 31 As the WGIII Report page 72 line 22-23 indicates: "It is important
to emphasize the uncertainties in estimating spill over effects." It
would be useful to make this the opening line for this this section.
As written in the underlying report, there are many different spill
over effects, all of which depend on assumptions made, thus no
models/study can reflect the full dynamics of all of the factors at
play.
The underlying report suggests that there is far more new literature
Expert Review of Second-Order-Draft
Confidential, Do Not Cite or Quote
Response suggested by cochairs
Action
for
chapter
Considerations
by the writing
team
DISCUSS 11 REJ, This is a
result of
findings. See
revised paras
ACC both carbon leakage and
spill-over will be defined in
glossary
REJ; definition in footnote
should be clear
(11)
Agree
(11)
REJ
(11)
ACC See revised
paras
(11)
REJ; that is what TAR said and
there is no other literature
ACC; reorder para so that new
findings Are close to TAR
findings
See revised
paras
(11)
ACC. This
comment major
basis for
revised paras
(11)
Page 207 of 348