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SODBatch A&B SPM Comments co-chair response final ... - ipcc-wg3

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Chapter-<br />

Comment<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-<br />

120<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-<br />

573<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-<br />

574<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-<br />

575<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-<br />

576<br />

para<br />

Batch<br />

From Page<br />

From Line<br />

To Page<br />

To line<br />

<strong>Comments</strong><br />

IPCC WGIII Fourth Assessment Report, Se<strong>co</strong>nd Order Draft<br />

7 B 8 3 8 4 Clarify that the <strong>co</strong>sts being referred to are global totals. Costs in<br />

different <strong>co</strong>untries may indeed be lower if they do not participate.<br />

U.S. Government<br />

(Government of U.S. Department of State)<br />

7 A 8 4 8 6 Insert super script reference to footnote 5 at **first** mention of<br />

GDP losses in line 5, not at the se<strong>co</strong>nd reference in line 6, as<br />

presently. Note 5 is one of the most important lines in the entire<br />

<strong>SPM</strong> and probably deserves promotion from a footnote.<br />

(Pat Finnegan, Grian)<br />

7 A 8 4 8 8 Negative GDP losses due to GHG emission reductions are peculiar<br />

and cannot generally accepted. The model showing the negative<br />

GDP losses presumes a mechanism that the larger carbon tax is<br />

imposed, the larger investments may take place by the revenue<br />

obtained through the carbon tax, and then employment increase and<br />

GDP increase will follow. In reality the carbon tax will work to<br />

diminish e<strong>co</strong>nomic activities because of the higher energy prices,<br />

and GDP in total will be decreased. However, the model does not<br />

<strong>co</strong>nsider these effects. The model presumptions <strong>co</strong>uld be justified<br />

for short time periods; however, for a long time span such as up to<br />

2050 and 2100, the presumed mechanism can never be justified.<br />

For these reasons, I strongly re<strong>co</strong>mmend you to delete the negative<br />

values in Figure <strong>SPM</strong> 5 and the related words. If not, you should at<br />

least provide with description regarding the limitations of the<br />

model. Otherwise, IPCC will <strong>co</strong>nfuse and mislead readers. (the<br />

same <strong>co</strong>mments to Figure TS 15a and Figure 3.29a)<br />

(Keigo Akimoto, Research Institute of Innovative Technology for<br />

the Earth (RITE))<br />

7 A 8 4 8 4 explain that "level of participation" means the number of Parties or<br />

<strong>co</strong>untries which are participating.<br />

(Rachel Warren, University of East Anglia)<br />

7 A 8 4 8 4 Is there not the case where higher baseline emissions, if associated<br />

with inefficiencies, can actually mean some lower <strong>co</strong>st reduction<br />

potentials?<br />

Expert Review of Se<strong>co</strong>nd-Order-Draft<br />

Confidential, Do Not Cite or Quote<br />

Response suggested by <strong>co</strong><strong>chair</strong>s<br />

price of allowances<br />

ACC<br />

ACC<br />

DISCUSS if studies that show<br />

negative <strong>co</strong>sts are sufficiently<br />

<strong>co</strong>mparable to be included; if<br />

the studies can be included<br />

provide an explanation for their<br />

results in the caption<br />

ACC; add explanation<br />

Action<br />

for<br />

chapter<br />

Considerations<br />

by the writing<br />

team<br />

3 accepted. Figure<br />

to be revised.<br />

(3), but<br />

retaining<br />

negative <strong>co</strong>sts<br />

DISCUSS 3 Rejected. While<br />

theoretically<br />

possible, no<br />

Page 149 of 348

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