SODBatch A&B SPM Comments co-chair response final ... - ipcc-wg3

Chapter-
Comment
SPM-
769
SPM-
770
SPM-
771
para
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Comments
IPCC WGIII Fourth Assessment Report, Second Order Draft
10 A 11 27 11 0 “The scenario described in Table SPM 2 provides a maximum of 50
EJ/year of new non-CO2-emitting power, beyond the baseline case,
in 2030. It will be necessary to provide non-CO2-emitting primary
power in the range of 150 EJ/year by 2050, 500 EJ/year by 2100
and over 1000 EJ/year during the next century, while limiting CO2emitting
power to a small fraction of this level. The total
requirement over the period until 2200 is in the range of 100,000
EJ. To address this problem requires large-scale non-CO2-emitting
energy resources that, in aggregate, are not limited in their
fractional market penetration. Table SPM 3 provides a perspective
on the options to provide these levels of energy. [Copy Table 4.3.1
here.] U.S. Government
(Government of U.S. Department of State)
11 A 11 28 11 35 When looking at the background information in chapter 11 the
SPM does not represent a fair summary of the carbon leakage issue.
The attitude seems to be that carbon leakage is not significant. This
is not true and by saying so the SPM represents a biased version of
results mentioned on p. 73 in chapter 11. There are surveys
referenced in chapter 11 of a carbon leakage up to 40 percent in the
EU. Reference could also be made to a COWI study made for
UNICE, which estimates an impact of about 20 % carbon leakage
already by 2010 in the EU (Study included in the email).
(Helle Juhler-Kristoffersen, Confederation of Danish Industries)
11 A 11 28 11 35 When looking at the background information in chapter 11 the
SPM does not represent a fair summary of the carbon leakage issue.
The attitude seems to be that carbon leakage is not significant. This
is not true and by saying so the SPM represents a biased version of
results mentioned on p. 73 in chapter 11. There are surveys
referenced in chapter 11 of a carbon leakage up to 40 percent in the
EU. Reference could also be made to a COWI study made for
UNICE, which estimates an impact of about 20 % carbon leakage
already by 2010 in the EU.
(Nick Campbell, ARKEMA SA)
Expert Review of Second-Order-Draft
Confidential, Do Not Cite or Quote
Response suggested by cochairs
UNCLEAR; see A-840 11
DISCUSS para states leakage
rates up to 20%;
Identical A-770
SPM- 11 A 11 28 11 35 When looking at the background information in chapter 11 the Identical A-770
Action
for
chapter
Considerations
by the writing
team
See new paras.
(11) Ch 11
proposes to split
the text in a para
on leakage and a
para on spill
overs.
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