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SODBatch A&B SPM Comments co-chair response final ... - ipcc-wg3

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Chapter-<br />

Comment<br />

para<br />

Batch<br />

From Page<br />

From Line<br />

To Page<br />

To line<br />

<strong>Comments</strong><br />

IPCC WGIII Fourth Assessment Report, Se<strong>co</strong>nd Order Draft<br />

783 diversification of their e<strong>co</strong>nomies into other sectors to alleviate<br />

natural resource dependency."<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-<br />

784<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-<br />

193<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-<br />

785<br />

<strong>SPM</strong>-<br />

786<br />

(Government of The Netherlands)<br />

11 A 11 32 11 34 What studies support the “new findings”? It is not clear on what<br />

studies they are referring to here; presumably that by Reinaud et al.<br />

is included. While Reinaud et al <strong>co</strong>ncluded that leakage would be<br />

lower than previously thought, it is also reported that “ambiguous<br />

results” warranting “further research”? Is this sufficient to support a<br />

new “finding”. U.S. Government<br />

(Government of U.S. Department of State)<br />

11 B 11 32 11 34 What studies support the “new findings”? The authors are not clear<br />

on what studies they are referring to here; presumably that by<br />

Reinaud et al. is included. While Reinaud et al <strong>co</strong>ncluded that<br />

leakage would be lower than previously thought, didn’t they also<br />

report “ambiguous results” warranting “further research”? Is this<br />

sufficient to support a new “finding”. U.S. Government<br />

(Government of U.S. Department of State)<br />

11 A 11 33 11 34 "... widespread relocation is unlikely ..." Such expressions are<br />

misleading in that it is clear that no installation will be dismantled<br />

in A and transfered to B to <strong>co</strong>ntinue its operations there. What is<br />

important is that there are practically no new investments e. g. in<br />

the EU but in Asia and elsewhere where energy intensive<br />

production does not face CO2 <strong>co</strong>nstraints, or at least very little.<br />

Investment decisions are driven by many factors but it should not<br />

be denied that as long as there is no truly international CO2 regime<br />

different climate policies in A and B do play a major role for<br />

energy intensive industry investments. Soothing expressions as in<br />

lines 33/34 do lead policy makers onto the wrong track.<br />

(Joachim Hein, BDI - Federation of German Industries)<br />

11 A 11 33 11 33 The statement "studies on the energy intensive industry indicate<br />

that widespread relocation is unlikely" needs to be qualified as<br />

some industries (e.g. aluminium) are seeing a trend towards some<br />

closure of existing capacity in OECD <strong>co</strong>untries and a marked<br />

expansion in non-OECD <strong>co</strong>untries (see attached<br />

Expert Review of Se<strong>co</strong>nd-Order-Draft<br />

Confidential, Do Not Cite or Quote<br />

Response suggested by <strong>co</strong><strong>chair</strong>s<br />

Action<br />

for<br />

chapter<br />

Considerations<br />

by the writing<br />

team<br />

paras<br />

(11)<br />

See A-780 See revised<br />

paras<br />

(11)<br />

Identical A-784<br />

See A-780 See revised<br />

paras<br />

(11)<br />

DISCUSS<br />

See also A-780<br />

11 See revised<br />

paras<br />

(11)<br />

Page 209 of 348

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