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AIB 2012 Conference Proceedings - Academy of International ...

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TUESDAY<br />

Legal System Uncertainty and FDI Attraction in Southeast Asia<br />

George O. White III, Old Dominion University<br />

Anne Canabal, University <strong>of</strong> Maine<br />

Amon Chizema, Loughborough University<br />

Mark J. Perry, University <strong>of</strong> Michigan-Flint<br />

Conventional wisdom suggests that legal system uncertainty will negatively affect foreign direct investment<br />

(FDI) attraction. However, to date, research on the effects <strong>of</strong> legal system uncertainty on FDI attraction in<br />

emerging markets has received very little attention. In this paper, we hypothesize that (1) the relationship<br />

between legal system uncertainty and FDI attraction is curvilinear in nature, such that FDI attraction decreases<br />

with legal system uncertainty down to an inflection point, but then increases beyond this point, and (2) that the<br />

relationship between legal system uncertainty and FDI attraction is moderated by government intervention in<br />

the host country economy, such that the strength <strong>of</strong> this relationship is greater when government intervention<br />

is high rather than when it is low. Moreover, we suggest that these relationships exist because uncertainty will<br />

provide opportunities for FDI that seek this form <strong>of</strong> operating environment, leveraging legal system uncertainty<br />

as a basis for competitive advantage. We test and find support for our hypotheses using FDI data from nine<br />

Southeast Asian countries for the years 1995 to 2005. Implications <strong>of</strong> our findings and suggestions for future<br />

inquiry are presented. (For more information, please contact: George O. White III, Old Dominion University,<br />

USA: gowhite@odu.edu)<br />

<strong>International</strong>ization Decisions and Political Hazards: Managerial Intent in a Risky Location<br />

Elizabeth Maitland, University <strong>of</strong> New South Wales<br />

Andre Sammartino, University <strong>of</strong> Melbourne<br />

How decision-makers incorporate assessments <strong>of</strong> political risk into internationalization decisions is a ‘black box'<br />

in international business (IB). Research on the interplay between states and multinational enterprises (MNEs)<br />

almost exclusively utilizes data aggregated at the national, industry and firm levels. Yet, assessment <strong>of</strong> risks and<br />

locations is a task undertaken, at least initially, by individuals. We introduce and explore the cognitive aspects <strong>of</strong><br />

such decisions. Utilizing extensive evidence from a mining MNE's expansion into West Africa, we demonstrate<br />

the crucial role <strong>of</strong> individuals' decision heuristics and schemas, and argue for greater consideration <strong>of</strong> such<br />

elements in IB research. (For more information, please contact: Andre Sammartino, University <strong>of</strong> Melbourne,<br />

Australia: samma@unimelb.edu.au)<br />

Legal Legitimacy, Political Stability and MNE Entry into Developing Countries: The Role <strong>of</strong> BIT Design<br />

Christopher Williams, University <strong>of</strong> Western Ontario<br />

Candace A. Martinez, Saint Louis University<br />

Tatiana Vashchilko, University <strong>of</strong> Western Ontario<br />

We investigate the impact <strong>of</strong> bilateral investment treaty (BIT) design on the likelihood <strong>of</strong> choosing majoritycontrolled<br />

entry modes as political stability changes across host countries. We extend institutional and<br />

transaction choice theories by focusing on the joint impact <strong>of</strong> domestic and international political institutions as<br />

well as on the variations in their design. We argue that the stringency <strong>of</strong> BIT design, rather than the mere<br />

presence <strong>of</strong> BITs, has a significant effect on entry mode choices. However, this effect is conditional on the<br />

degree <strong>of</strong> political stability in host countries. The sample includes 201 foreign expansions made by AEX-listed<br />

Dutch MNEs between 2004 and 2008 into 30 developing countries with which The Netherlands had ratified<br />

BITs. As hypothesized, we find that both political stability and BIT stringency have a positive impact on seeking<br />

majority control in the investment and that BIT stringency has a stronger impact on majority control decisions in<br />

less politically stable countries. We conclude with research and management implications. (For more<br />

information, please contact: Christopher Williams, University <strong>of</strong> Western Ontario, Canada:<br />

cwilliams@ivey.uwo.ca)<br />

<strong>AIB</strong> <strong>2012</strong> <strong>Conference</strong> <strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

Page 197

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