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Our performance in 2009 - Sappi

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172<br />

Notes to the group annual f<strong>in</strong>ancial statements cont<strong>in</strong>ued<br />

30. F<strong>in</strong>ancial <strong>in</strong>struments cont<strong>in</strong>ued<br />

Scenario name<br />

Base<br />

value<br />

Scenario<br />

value Change % Change<br />

–125bps USD-LIBOR-3M (118.5) (118.9) (0.4) 0.3<br />

–392bps GBP-LIBOR-6M 128.6 129.9 1.3 1.0<br />

Total 0.9<br />

2. IRCS convert<strong>in</strong>g fixed US$ rates <strong>in</strong>to EUR fixed rates<br />

Scenario name<br />

Base<br />

value<br />

Scenario<br />

value Change % Change<br />

–50bps EURIBOR-6M (452.7) (461.8) (9.1) 2.0<br />

+50bps EURIBOR-6M (452.7) (443.8) 8.9 (2.0)<br />

Total (0.2)<br />

Scenario name<br />

Base<br />

value<br />

Scenario<br />

value Change % Change<br />

–50bps USD-LIBOR-3M 429.1 437.8 8.7 2.0<br />

+50bps USD-LIBOR-3M 429.1 420.6 (8.5) (2.0)<br />

Total 0.2<br />

The derivative converts fixed US$ <strong>in</strong>terest payments of 12% <strong>in</strong>to fixed EUR <strong>in</strong>terest coupons, as well as the redemption of<br />

pr<strong>in</strong>cipal amounts at maturity. The fair value of the <strong>in</strong>strument is subject to changes of both the <strong>in</strong>herent exchange rates and<br />

<strong>in</strong>terest rates. Fair value changes of the derivative caused by currencies are neutralised by currency changes <strong>in</strong> the underly<strong>in</strong>g<br />

external debt.<br />

At 27 September <strong>2009</strong>, the net fair value of the seven derivatives amounted to a negative amount of US$23.6 million (Gross<br />

‘Base Values’ <strong>in</strong> the table above: US$-452.7 million for the EUR leg and US$429.1 million for the US$ leg) of which a<br />

negative amount of US$9.9 million was due to the exchange rate movement between <strong>in</strong>ception and the report<strong>in</strong>g date. This<br />

amount is compensated by the opposite movement of the underly<strong>in</strong>g US$ external debt and therefore has no impact on<br />

profit or loss. The portion of the fair value due to <strong>in</strong>terest rate movements which has been recorded <strong>in</strong>to equity, amounts to<br />

a negative value of US$13.8 million. This value will reduce to zero at maturity.<br />

For the period outstand<strong>in</strong>g, the table above shows the impact that a shift of 50bps on the LIBOR/EURIBOR curve would<br />

have on the fair value. A decrease <strong>in</strong> the USD LIBOR adds to the fair value, as does an <strong>in</strong>crease of the EURIBOR. When the<br />

EUR and the US$ <strong>in</strong>terest rates move the same way, the one roughly compensates the other. If the rates would drift <strong>in</strong><br />

opposite directions this would have an impact of approximately US$17.6 million for a shift of 50bps.<br />

The largest shift experienced over the last 12-month period was a negative net shift of 2.26%, due to a decrease <strong>in</strong> US$<br />

rates of 2.51 % and a decrease <strong>in</strong> the EUR rates of 0.25%. Applied to the fair value as per 27 September <strong>2009</strong>, this would<br />

have resulted <strong>in</strong> a positive change <strong>in</strong> fair value of US$40.9 million.<br />

Scenario name<br />

Base<br />

value<br />

Scenario<br />

value Change % Change<br />

–251bps USD-LIBOR-3M 429.1 474.6 45.5 10.6<br />

–25bps EURIBOR-6M (452.7) (457.3) (4.6) 1.0<br />

Total 40.9<br />

The above analysis measures the impact on profit or loss that a change <strong>in</strong> fair value of the <strong>in</strong>terest rate derivatives would<br />

have, if the specified scenarios were to occur.

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