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Our performance in 2009 - Sappi

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68<br />

Bus<strong>in</strong>ess risks<br />

Overall<br />

rank<strong>in</strong>g<br />

3<br />

4<br />

5<br />

6<br />

10<br />

11<br />

12<br />

13<br />

14<br />

15<br />

16<br />

17<br />

Risk management cont<strong>in</strong>ued<br />

The current global liquidity and credit<br />

crises could have a negative impact on<br />

our major customers which <strong>in</strong> turn could<br />

materially adversely affect our results of<br />

operations and f<strong>in</strong>ancial position<br />

Fluctuations <strong>in</strong> the value of currencies,<br />

particularly the Rand and the Euro, <strong>in</strong><br />

relation to the US Dollar, have <strong>in</strong> the past<br />

had and could <strong>in</strong> the future have a<br />

significant impact on our earn<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>in</strong><br />

these currencies<br />

The <strong>in</strong>ability to obta<strong>in</strong> energy or raw<br />

materials at favourable prices could<br />

adversely affect our operations<br />

Catastrophic events affect<strong>in</strong>g our<br />

plantations, such as fires, may<br />

adversely impact our ability to supply<br />

our Southern African mills with timber<br />

from the region<br />

<strong>Our</strong> <strong>in</strong>debtedness may impair our<br />

f<strong>in</strong>ancial and operat<strong>in</strong>g flexibility.<br />

Risk Risk description and mitigation<br />

We require a significant amount of cash<br />

to fund our bus<strong>in</strong>ess.<br />

A limited number of customers account<br />

for a significant amount of our revenues<br />

There are risks relat<strong>in</strong>g to the countries<br />

<strong>in</strong> which we operate that could impact<br />

our earn<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

Concerns about the effects of<br />

climate change may have an impact<br />

on our bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />

Because of the nature of our bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />

and workforce, we may face challenges<br />

<strong>in</strong> the retention of skilled staff that<br />

could adversely affect our bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />

A large percentage of our employees<br />

are unionised and wage <strong>in</strong>creases or<br />

work stoppages by our unionised<br />

employees may have a material adverse<br />

effect on our bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />

We face certa<strong>in</strong> risks <strong>in</strong> deal<strong>in</strong>g with<br />

HIV/AIDS which may have an adverse<br />

effect on our Southern African<br />

operations<br />

The current global liquidity and credit crises are hav<strong>in</strong>g a significant negative impact on<br />

bus<strong>in</strong>esses around the world, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g some of our major customers. We are work<strong>in</strong>g closely<br />

with our customers, provid<strong>in</strong>g a high level of service and reliability. We manage and regularly<br />

review credit and other exposures. We also purchase credit <strong>in</strong>surance to cover a significant<br />

part of our outstand<strong>in</strong>g receivables<br />

<strong>Sappi</strong> is exposed to economic, transaction and translation currency risks. The objective of the<br />

group <strong>in</strong> manag<strong>in</strong>g currency risk is to ensure that foreign exchange exposures are identified<br />

as early as possible and actively managed. In manag<strong>in</strong>g currency risk, the group first makes<br />

use of <strong>in</strong>ternal hedg<strong>in</strong>g techniques, with external hedg<strong>in</strong>g be<strong>in</strong>g applied thereafter. External<br />

hedg<strong>in</strong>g techniques consist primarily of foreign forward exchange contracts and currency<br />

options. Foreign currency capital expenditure on projects is covered as soon as practical<br />

(subject to regulatory approval)<br />

We require substantial amounts of wood, chemicals and energy for our production activities.<br />

The prices for and availability of these energy supplies and raw materials may be subject to<br />

change or curtailment. To mitigate the risk, we are improv<strong>in</strong>g procurement methods, f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g<br />

alternative lower-cost fuels and raw materials, further m<strong>in</strong>imis<strong>in</strong>g waste, improv<strong>in</strong>g<br />

manufactur<strong>in</strong>g and logistics efficiencies and implement<strong>in</strong>g energy reduction <strong>in</strong>itiatives<br />

The Southern African landscape is prone to, and ecologically adapted to, frequent fires. The<br />

risk of uncontrolled fires enter<strong>in</strong>g and burn<strong>in</strong>g significant areas of plantations is high, but under<br />

normal weather conditions this risk is managed through comprehensive fire prevention and<br />

protection plans which <strong>in</strong>clude an <strong>in</strong>creased focus on tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g our people, build<strong>in</strong>g community<br />

awareness of the destruction caused by fires, and upgrad<strong>in</strong>g fire detection systems and<br />

firefight<strong>in</strong>g equipment<br />

Cash generation and improv<strong>in</strong>g our balance sheet structure, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g a reduction <strong>in</strong><br />

borrow<strong>in</strong>gs, are priorities for management as outl<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> the chief f<strong>in</strong>ancial officer’s report<br />

<strong>Our</strong> ability to fund our work<strong>in</strong>g capital, capital expenditure, research and development<br />

requirements, and to make payments on our debt pr<strong>in</strong>cipally depends on cash available from<br />

our credit facilities, other debt arrangements and our operat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>performance</strong>. <strong>Our</strong> year end<br />

cash balance follow<strong>in</strong>g the ref<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g of our debt profile provides us with adequate headroom<br />

to fund our short-term requirements. We are also focus<strong>in</strong>g on profit improvement <strong>in</strong> our<br />

operations by reduc<strong>in</strong>g fixed and variable costs, spend<strong>in</strong>g capital prudently and tightly<br />

controll<strong>in</strong>g work<strong>in</strong>g capital<br />

Any adverse development affect<strong>in</strong>g our pr<strong>in</strong>cipal customers or our relationships with our<br />

pr<strong>in</strong>cipal customers could have an adverse effect on our bus<strong>in</strong>ess and results of operations.<br />

We ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> good relationships with our customers and work together with We ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> good<br />

relationships with our customers and work together with our pr<strong>in</strong>cipal customers to address<br />

developments that could adversely affect their bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />

We own manufactur<strong>in</strong>g operations <strong>in</strong> six countries <strong>in</strong> Europe, three states <strong>in</strong> the United States,<br />

South Africa and Swaziland, and have an <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> a jo<strong>in</strong>t venture <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a. Country risks<br />

arise from be<strong>in</strong>g subject to various economic, fiscal, monetary, regulatory, operational and<br />

political factors that affect companies generally and which may change as economic, social or<br />

political circumstances change. We manage these risks <strong>in</strong> each country. The broad spread of<br />

countries we operate <strong>in</strong> helps mitigate the risks <strong>in</strong> any <strong>in</strong>dividual country<br />

Concerns about the global warm<strong>in</strong>g and carbon footpr<strong>in</strong>t as well as legal and f<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />

<strong>in</strong>centives favour<strong>in</strong>g alternative fuels are caus<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>in</strong>creased use of susta<strong>in</strong>able, non-fossil<br />

fuel sources for electricity generation. Electricity generation companies are compet<strong>in</strong>g for the<br />

same raw material, namely wood and wood chips, <strong>in</strong> the same markets as us, driv<strong>in</strong>g prices<br />

upwards, especially dur<strong>in</strong>g w<strong>in</strong>ter <strong>in</strong> the Northern hemisphere<br />

The <strong>in</strong>creased emphasis on water footpr<strong>in</strong>t <strong>in</strong> Southern Africa is caus<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>creased focus on<br />

the susta<strong>in</strong>able use of water by mills, on ensur<strong>in</strong>g the quality of water released back <strong>in</strong>to the<br />

water systems and on the control of effluent<br />

We are fac<strong>in</strong>g an ag<strong>in</strong>g demographic work profile among our staff due to the mature nature of<br />

our <strong>in</strong>dustry and the rural and often remote location of our mills, together with the generally<br />

long tenure of employees at the mills. We have put <strong>in</strong> place a number of <strong>in</strong>itiatives, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />

engagement management, <strong>performance</strong> management and <strong>in</strong>centives to mitigate this risk<br />

We may not be able to negotiate acceptable new collective barga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g agreements or future<br />

restructur<strong>in</strong>g agreements, which could result <strong>in</strong> labour disputes. We strive to have good relations<br />

with our employees, even if general economic conditions may lead to strike action from time to<br />

time as happened <strong>in</strong> South Africa <strong>in</strong> <strong>2009</strong>. <strong>Our</strong> cordial relations have enabled us to negotiate<br />

acceptable new collective barga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g agreements and we have recently reached agreements<br />

with our employees regard<strong>in</strong>g workforce reductions, closures and other restructur<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

There is a serious problem with HIV/AIDS <strong>in</strong>fection among our southern African workforce, as<br />

there is <strong>in</strong> southern Africa generally. We have comprehensive programmes designed to mitigate<br />

the impact of the disease on our people and our bus<strong>in</strong>ess and these are addressed more fully<br />

<strong>in</strong> our susta<strong>in</strong>ability report which can be accessed on our website

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