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The Bourgeois Virtues: Ethics for an Age of Commerce

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440 chapter 41Crusade was inspired by theories <strong>of</strong> just war, as nowadays the <strong>an</strong>ticrusade <strong>of</strong>Muslim martyrs is inspired by parallel theories. But <strong>an</strong>yway Turner’s storyseems rather more plausible th<strong>an</strong> Pinker’s, <strong>an</strong>d by the way reads less like apolitically pointed just-so story helpful to the radical wing <strong>of</strong> the Republic<strong>an</strong>Party.Still, one tires <strong>of</strong> the boyish enthusiasm in philosophy, psychology,economics, sociology, <strong>an</strong>d the fourth estate <strong>for</strong> neoevolutionary <strong>an</strong>d gametheoreticarguments. <strong>The</strong> boys do not realize that the Folk <strong>The</strong>orem spoilsthe game. Perhaps the limitless number <strong>of</strong> solutions implied by the theoremaccounts <strong>for</strong> the limitless parade <strong>of</strong> pseudo expl<strong>an</strong>ations. Recall the learnedgame theorists: “<strong>The</strong> prediction that individuals might do <strong>an</strong>ything from alarge set <strong>of</strong> feasible strategies is neither useful nor precise.” 17It would be nice to see some actual evidence. <strong>The</strong> evidence from brainscience is that so far we know practically nothing about the connectionbetween brains <strong>an</strong>d minds. This doesn’t leave much room <strong>for</strong> confidentstatements similar to those about the effects <strong>of</strong> isl<strong>an</strong>d size on <strong>an</strong>imal size or<strong>of</strong> sunshine on hum<strong>an</strong> melatonin. <strong>The</strong> mind-brain connections we knowabout are too loose to help much in explaining ethics. As Jerry Fodor says,“Unlike our minds [<strong>an</strong>d our postures <strong>an</strong>d hair distributions, say], ourbrains are, by <strong>an</strong>y gross measure, very like those <strong>of</strong> apes. So it looks asthough relatively small alterations <strong>of</strong> brain structure must have producedvery large behavioral discontinuities in the tr<strong>an</strong>sition from the <strong>an</strong>cestralapes to us. If that’s right, then you don’t have to assume that cognitive complexityis shaped by the gradual action <strong>of</strong> Darwini<strong>an</strong> selection on prehum<strong>an</strong>behavioral phenotypes.” 18 Fodor is vexed at people like Pinker whoclaim credit on some future, twenty-third-century brain science today. Hecounsels humility: “I’d settle <strong>for</strong> the merest glimpse <strong>of</strong> what is going on.”Economists, I have noted, w<strong>an</strong>t to explain everything—simply everything—frommedieval open fields to the productivity <strong>of</strong> British steelmakingbe<strong>for</strong>e 1914, with the simplest possible, boy’s-own version <strong>of</strong> P Only. Withoutbeing explicit enough, though, some economists, <strong>an</strong>d some <strong>of</strong> the best,do acknowledge S variables. <strong>The</strong>odore Schultz argued in Tr<strong>an</strong>s<strong>for</strong>ming TraditionalAgriculture (1964; Nobel 1979) that peas<strong>an</strong>ts in poor countries wereprudent. He was arguing that it was a mistake to explain their behavior<strong>an</strong>thropology-style as “behavior equals some const<strong>an</strong>t plus the effect <strong>of</strong> thesacred, plus <strong>an</strong> error term <strong>for</strong> hum<strong>an</strong> variability,” B = α + γS + ε, with theS variable alone. Schultz said, Even these “traditional” peas<strong>an</strong>ts care about

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