transport of dangerous goods and risk management - Kirilo Savić

TRANSPORT OF DANGEROUS GOODS AND RISK MANAGEMENT 109Risk analysis results in determining the level of risk (Matrix 3) 1) .The level of risk is determined by the pattern:RL = P * C .......................... .................................................. .................................................................. (3)ConsequencesMatrix 3. Determining the level of riskMinimum Small Moderate Serious CatastrophicProbability1 2 3 4 5Impossible 1 1 2 3 4 5Unlikely 2 2 4 6 8 10Likely 3 3 6 9 12 15Almostcertainly4 4 8 12 16 20Certainly 5 5 10 15 20 25Based on the level of risk the size and degree of risk is determined (Table 3) 7) .Table 3. Determining the size and level of riskCategories of risk The degree of risk Size of risk Level of riskFIRST 1 Very small, negligible 1 and 2SECOND 2 Small 3, 4 and5THIRD 3 Moderate large 6, 8 and 9FOURTH 4 Large 10, 12,15 and 16FIFTH 5 Very large 20 and 25Example - continued:Using the form (3), matrix 3. and Table 3., the determination is: RL = P *C = 2 * 3 = 6 (MODERATELY LARGE).According to previously defined criteria, determines the size of the possible consequences for all protected values:1. Business: Violation of normal operations;2. Safety: Injuries of people, damage to resources, environmental pollution;3. Financial performance: paying compensation;4. Regulatory / legal requirements: violation;5. Reputation: violation of the reputation of an organization;6. Stakeholders: negative impact on the attitude of contractors;7. Environment: disruption of life and health, violations on natural resources.Using Table 3. The determination is: RISK CATEGORY = 3.Using Table 4. The determination is: ACCEPTANCE = UNACCEPTABLE .