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[Joseph_E._Stiglitz,_Carl_E._Walsh]_Economics(Bookos.org) (1)

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Budget constraint after

increase in interest rate

FUTURE CONSUMPTION

B 2

E 1

B 1

B

Initial

budget

constraint

E 2

E 0

Indifference

curves

Budget

constraint

used to trace

substitution

effect only

C 1

C

Figure 9.8

CURRENT CONSUMPTION

INCOME AND SUBSTITUTION EFFECTS OF A HIGHER INTEREST RATE

An increase in the interest rate rotates the budget constraint, moving it from BC to B 2 C.

The substitution effect describes what happens when relative prices are changed but

Maggie remains on the same indifference curve; there is a shift in the budget line from

BC to B 1 C 1 , and an increase in saving from E 0 to E 2 . The income effect is the result of an

outward shift of the budget line, keeping relative prices the same; the income effect is

described by the shift from B 1 C 1 to B 2 C, and the increase in present consumption from

E 2 to E 1 .

CHANGING THE INTEREST RATE

Indifference curves and budget constraints enable us to see the effect of an increase

in the interest rate. Figure 9.8 shows the case of an individual, Maggie, who works

while she is young and saves for her retirement. The vertical axis gives consumption

during retirement years, the horizontal axis consumption during working years. An

increase in the rate of interest rotates the budget constraint, moving it from BC to

B 2 C. It is useful to break the change down into two steps. In the first, we ask what

would have happened if the interest rate had changed but Maggie remained on the

same indifference curve. This is represented by the movement of the budget

constraint from BC to B 1 C 1 . As a result of the increased interest rate, Maggie consumes

less today—she saves more. This is the substitution effect, and it is seen in the

movement from E 0 to E 2 in the figure.

In the second step we note that since Maggie is a saver, the increased interest

rate makes her better off. To leave Maggie on the same indifference curve after the

210 ∂ CHAPTER 9 CAPITAL MARKETS

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