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[Joseph_E._Stiglitz,_Carl_E._Walsh]_Economics(Bookos.org) (1)

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to have occurred when real GDP falls for at least two consecutive quarters. (For

statistical purposes, a year is divided into quarters, each three months long.)

Low utilization of capacity, like the unemployment of workers, represents a waste

of scarce economic resources. In recessions the economy operates well below its

potential. Unemployment is high and a large fraction of machines remain idle or

underutilized.

Because the difference between the actual level of GDP the economy produces

and its potential level of GDP is an important measure of fluctuations, economists

have a special name for it. The percentage difference between GDP and potential

GDP is called the output gap. When the economy is in a recession, actual GDP is

less than potential and the output gap is negative. If actual GDP is greater than

potential, the output gap is positive. The output gap will play an prominent role in

Part Seven when we examine economic fluctuations in more detail.

Wrap-Up

ALTERNATIVE APPROACHES TO

MEASURING GDP

Measuring the value of output:

consumption + investment + government purchases + net exports

sum of value added in each stage of production

Measuring income:

employee compensation + profits, interest, rents + indirect taxes + depreciation

Output = income

PROBLEMS IN MEASURING OUTPUT

The U.S. economy is constantly changing—new industries emerge, old industries

decline, new technologies lead to new products and different methods of production.

Does the way our economy is being fundamentally altered by new technologies

mean that economists will need to rethink how we measure the economy’s

output? Three problems cause particular difficulties for measuring output.

Measuring Quality Changes With many products, such as computers,

improvements in quality occur every year. GDP statisticians try to make adjustments

for these changes in quality. But in some sectors, such as the financial and

health sectors and the computer industry, the adjustments may be inadequate.

Because these sectors are expanding rapidly, the magnitude of the real growth of

GDP may be understated.

Measuring Service Output Defining and measuring output in the service

sector of the economy are increasingly complex and difficult tasks. Because the

service sector is a growing share of the economy, the conventional GDP measure

may understate the real growth of the economy.

496 ∂ CHAPTER 22 MEASURING OUTPUT AND UNEMPLOYMENT

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