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[Joseph_E._Stiglitz,_Carl_E._Walsh]_Economics(Bookos.org) (1)

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20 ∂ CHAPTER 1 MODERN ECONOMICS

profits of U.S. textile manufacturers, and the reduced employment among textile

workers in developing countries. Economists might disagree over the consequences

of restricting imports because they disagree over the magnitude of the effects,

perhaps agreeing that prices to consumers would rise but disagreeing over the size

of that rise.

In the end, though, the policy question is, Should there be restraints on textile

imports? This is a normative question. Normative economics would weigh these various

effects—the losses to consumers, the gains to U.S. textile workers, the increased

profits—to reach an overall judgment. Normative economics develops frameworks

within which these complicated judgments can be systematically made. Good normative

economics also tries to be explicit about precisely which values or objectives

it is incorporating. It tries to couch its statements in the form “If these are

your values, then this is the best policy.”

Economists, like members of any other profession, often have different values.

Two economists might agree that a particular tax change would increase saving

but would benefit the wealthy more than the poor. However, they might reach different

conclusions about the desirability of that tax change. One might oppose it

because it increases income inequality; the other might support it because it promotes

saving. They differ in the values they place on the effects of the policy change,

so they reach different conclusions even when they agree on the positive analysis of

the proposed policy.

While economists may often seem to differ greatly among themselves, in fact

they agree more than they disagree. When they do disagree, economists try to be

clear about the source of their disagreement: (1) to what extent does it arise out of

differences in models, (2) to what extent does it arise out of differences in estimates

of quantitative relationships, and (3) to what extent does it arise out of differences

in values? Clarifying the source of and reasons for disagreement can be a very

productive way of learning more about an issue.

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