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[Joseph_E._Stiglitz,_Carl_E._Walsh]_Economics(Bookos.org) (1)

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THE WORLD BANK’S DEVELOPMENT GOALS

The World Bank has established goals for reducing poverty, improving

education, reducing child mortality, and achieving other

indicators of economic development and improved standards

of living. They are listed at www.developmentgoals.org.

First, several countries have moved from the circle of LDCs to the ranks of

middle-income countries. These are referred to collectively as newly industrialized

countries, or NICs for short. Those with success stories include the “gang of

four”: South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, and Hong Kong. In the thirty years after

the devastating Korean War, for instance, South Korea moved from being a backward

country to a major producer—not just of simple products such as textiles

but of automobiles (the Hyundai) and computers, whose production requires a

reasonably high level of technological expertise. Even more impressive, Japan has

moved from the category of middle-income country to become one of the most

prosperous nations in the world. But the success stories are not limited to East

Asia: Botswana, while today suffering greatly from AIDS, has managed to have

sustained growth of more than 8 percent annually for thirty years, among the most

impressive records anywhere in the world. India, which for decades after independence

hardly seemed to grow, has experienced sustained growth of more than

5 percent for a decade.

Second, there have been pockets of remarkable progress within the LDCs.

In the early 1960s, agricultural research centers around the world (funded largely

by the Rockefeller Foundation) developed new kinds of seeds, which under proper

conditions enormously increase yields per acre. The introduction and dissemination

of these new seeds—accompanied by far-reaching improvements in agricultural

practices, known as the green revolution—led to huge increases in output.

India, for example, finally managed to produce enough food to feed its burgeoning

population and now sometimes exports wheat to other countries.

Third, even the grim statistics for life expectancy—62 years in Bangladesh and

46 years in sub-Saharan Africa (compared to 78 years in the United States, as

noted above)—represent improvements for many countries. But these improvements

have a darker side in some countries: a population explosion reminiscent

of the Malthusian nightmare. Thomas Malthus envisioned a world in which population

growth outpaced increases in the food supply. In Kenya during the early

1980s, for instance, improved health conditions enabled the population to grow at

4.1 percent a year, a remarkable rate at which the population would double every

seventeen years, while output increased at only 1.9 percent a year. Increases

in output do nothing to improve per capita income when the population grows

even faster.

796 ∂ CHAPTER 36 DEVELOPMENT AND TRANSITION

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