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[Joseph_E._Stiglitz,_Carl_E._Walsh]_Economics(Bookos.org) (1)

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International Perspective

WHAT GETS MEASURED IN THE GDP?

In the United States, illegal activity is not counted as part of

GDP. If we are trying to get a measure of market economic

activity, excluding occupations like the drug trade means

that GDP misses one type of output. For the United States,

this omission is unlikely to have a major impact on the usefulness

of GDP statistics. But if illegal activity is a major

source of income in a given country, then failing to count

that income as part of GDP may give a misleading picture of

its economy.

Colombia provides a case in point. Colombia is a major

exporter of illegal drugs. Drugs are grown, processed, and

transported. Each of these steps represents economic activity,

yet the incomes generated directly by the trade in illegal

drugs have been excluded from its GDP.

The Colombian government has begun to add income

earned from illegal drug crops to GDP. It is estimated that

treating drug crops like legal crops in this calculation may add

as much as 1 percent to Colombia’s GDP. The drug trade

involves much more than just growing the crops—processing

and transporting them are also huge businesses. But as of now,

those aspects are omitted from Colombia’s GDP. Including

them would increase the drug trade’s impact on the figures.

While adding even part of the value of drug-related income

will raise Colombia’s reported GDP, the new figure does not

mean the country’s income is any higher—it simply means

that more of it is being counted in the official statistics. The

change does highlight an important point, however. Often the

exact definition of a statistic changes over time, or the methods

used to collect the data change. Variables that have the

same name in two different countries may not measure quite

the same thing. We must keep these possible variations in mind

when making international comparisons of GDP, especially

For sound economic reasons, Colombia includes the illegal coca

leaf crop in its calculation of GDP.

when comparing economies that are quite different. If a particular

type of economic activity—say, bread making—is done

through markets in one economy and at home in another, bread

consumption as measured in GDP will be higher in the former.

Robert Summers and Alan Heston carried out one of the

best attempts to construct consistent international data on

GDP. Their data, known as the Penn World Table, are available

on the Web at http://pwt.econ.upenn.edu/.

represent only a slowdown in real growth; sometimes output actually falls. The dips

in real GDP from 1971 to 1973, from 1980 to 1981, from 1990 to 1991, and in 2001 represent

periods when U.S. economic output actually declined. A strong upward fluctuation

is called a boom, and a downward one is called a recession. A severe recession

is called a depression. The last depression, called the Great Depression because of

its length and depth, began in 1929. The economy did not fully recover until World

War II. While there is no technical definition of a boom, a recession is generally said

MEASURING OUTPUT AND GROWTH ∂ 495

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