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[Joseph_E._Stiglitz,_Carl_E._Walsh]_Economics(Bookos.org) (1)

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sell in the foreign exchange market. As they do so, the supply of dollars will increase.

The equilibrium exchange rate is the value of dollars in terms of euros that balances

the demand for dollars and the supply of dollars. In the figure, e 0 is the equilibrium

exchange rate. At a lower exchange rate such as e 1 , the demand for dollars exceeds

the supply of dollars. Just as in the market for wheat, if demand exceeds supply, the

price will rise. In this case, the value of the dollar will rise. At an exchange rate such

as e 2 , supply exceeds demand and the dollar will fall in value.

Panels B and C illustrate the effects on the exchange rate of a shift in the supply

of dollars and the demand for dollars, respectively. In panel B, the supply curve has

shifted to the right, increasing the supply of dollars at each exchange rate. Perhaps

a change in European tax law has made investing in Europe more attractive to

American firms (other factors that might shift the supply curve will be discussed

below). At the initial exchange rate e 0 , there is now an excess supply of dollars. The

dollar will fall in value until the new equilibrium is reached at the exchange rate e 1 .

Panel C illustrates another change in the foreign exchange market—this time a

shift to the left in the demand curve for dollars, reflecting a smaller demand for dollars

at each exchange rate. Such a shift might be caused by a change in U.S. tax law

that makes it less attractive for European firms to invest in the United States. At

the initial exchange rate e 0 , there is now an excess supply of dollars. The value

of the dollar falls until the new equilibrium is reached at the exchange rate e 1 . At

this lower value, the demand for dollars and the supply of dollars are again equal.

Earlier, we noted three reasons why Europeans might wish to sell euros to buy

dollars and, conversely, Americans might wish to sell dollars to buy euros. We can

now discuss how each of these factors affects demand and supply in the foreign

exchange market.

Exports and Imports Consider what happens if a U.S. firm sells a product in

Europe. Suppose, for example, Levi Strauss sells jeans in Europe. The company can

do three things with the euros it receives for the goods it has sold. First, it could try

to convert them into dollars. Second, it could sell the euros to an American firm

EXCHANGE RATE =

EURO/U.S. DOLLAR (e)

e 2

e 0

e 1

A

Supply curve

for dollars

Demand curve

for dollars

EXCHANGE RATE (e)

e 0

e 1

S

S'

B

Supply

curves

Demand

curve

EXCHANGE RATE (e)

e 0

e 1

C

Demand

curves

Supply

curve

D

D'

U.S. DOLLARS U.S. DOLLARS U.S. DOLLARS

Figure 34.1

THE EXCHANGE RATE

In equilibrium, the exchange rate is determined where the demand for dollars equals the

supply, as in panel A. A rightward shift in the supply curve of dollars (panel B) or a leftward

shift in the demand curve for dollars (panel C) results in a lower exchange rate; that

is, the dollar depreciates.

760 ∂ CHAPTER 34 THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM

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