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[Joseph_E._Stiglitz,_Carl_E._Walsh]_Economics(Bookos.org) (1)

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Figure 27.6

TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE

Improvements in knowledge and technology shift up the

production function; at each level of physical and human

capital per worker, higher levels of output per worker

can be achieved.

the laser were developed. Indeed, most major firms spend about 3 percent

of their gross revenues on research and development (R & D).

We have become so accustomed to the current level of technological

progress that it is hard to believe how different the view of reputable

economists was in the early 1800s. Real wages of workers were

little higher than they had been more than four centuries earlier, when

the bubonic plague killed a large part of the population of Europe and

thereby created a scarcity of labor that raised real wages. After half a

millennium of slow progress at best, Thomas Malthus, one of the greatest

economists of that time, saw population expanding more rapidly

than the capacity of the economy to support it. His prediction of an

inevitable decline in living standards earned economics the nickname

of “the dismal science.” Today, many continue to predict that the world

economy will be unable to grow faster than the population and that

living standards must necessarily decline. Such calculations have been

proved wrong over and over again, as technological advances have rendered

their premises false. The role of technological change in the economy’s

aggregate production is depicted in Figure 27.6. Improved

technology enables the economy to achieve more output per worker

at each level of physical and human capital per worker.

The Production of Ideas Knowing that ideas are important for economic

growth tells us little about how they are produced. Can we use some of the basic

ideas of economics to understand the production of ideas?

To start, think about the incentives that face a potential inventor. Those incentives

will be greatest if the inventor can charge a fee to anyone who uses her new

idea. She must be able to prevent its employment by those unwilling to pay. But

some ideas are hard to maintain control over. Once Henry Ford came up with the

idea of the modern assembly line, he might have kept it secret for a while by barring

visitors to his factory, but certainly anyone who saw his new method of manufacture

could take the idea and set up a new factory. Most software companies keep

their source code secret in order to exclude its use by those who have not paid a

licensing fee. The incentive to produce new ideas will be increased if inventors are

able to profit from such licenses. To that end, inventors must be granted property

rights to their ideas, as those ideas are given form in a specific process, machine, article

of manufacture, composition of matter, or design. Property rights give their

holder legal authority to determine how a resource is used, including the right to

charge others for its use. If property rights are insecure, if a firm planning on engaging

in research is uncertain about whether it will be allowed to capture the benefits

of any new ideas it produces, then fewer resources will be invested into research

and the production of new ideas.

Society has another consideration, however. Producing a new idea may be very

costly, but it need be produced only once. Your laptop embodies thousands of new

ideas, but these ideas did not have to be reproduced each time a new laptop was

made. The screen, memory chips, and case did have to be produced for each laptop;

they are examples of rivalrous goods—the memory chips in your laptop cannot be

in your roommate’s laptop. But the design of the laptop is a nonrivalrous good, and

594 ∂ CHAPTER 27 GROWTH AND PRODUCTIVITY

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