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[Joseph_E._Stiglitz,_Carl_E._Walsh]_Economics(Bookos.org) (1)

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FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES

The Universal Currency Converter at www.xe.com/ucc/ enables

you to find out how much $1 is worth in any of more than seventy

other currencies, from the Algerian dinar to the Zambian

kwacha. Historical series on U.S. dollar exchange rates with

many countries are provided by the Federal Reserve at

www.federalreserve.gov/releases/H10/hist/.

included in the CPI. Because the CPI includes both domestically produced and

foreign-produced goods, it is affected by changes in the exchange rate.

If the dollar appreciates, the dollar prices of foreign goods will fall. Because the

CPI includes foreign consumer goods while the GDP price index does not, the CPI

will fall relative to the GDP index. When the dollar depreciates, the opposite will

occur: the CPI index will rise relative to the GDP index. Fluctuations in the exchange

rate are one reason for the differences in reported inflation rates, differences that

depend on which price index is used to measure inflation.

Comparing Monetary and Fiscal

Policies in the Open Economy

In today’s open economy, policymakers designing macroeconomic policies must take

into account the effects of the exchange rate. In a closed economy, expansionary

monetary policy has a short-run effect on aggregate expenditures through lower

interest rates and an increase in available credit, while expansionary fiscal policy

eventually crowds out private investment. In the open economy, we have already

seen how the effects of changes in exchange rates, and their impact on net exports,

come into play when we analyze macroeconomic policy. In an open economy, the

relative utility of monetary and fiscal policies changes—monetary policy becomes

more effective in the short run while fiscal policy becomes less so.

MONETARY POLICY WITH FLEXIBLE

EXCHANGE RATES

When discretionary monetary policy actions are undertaken, their impact on the

economy is reinforced by the exchange rate. Suppose the Fed decides to raise interest

rates in the United States. And suppose Japan, members of the European Economic

and Monetary Union, and other countries do not match the interest rate increase.

The higher yields on U.S. bonds make them more attractive to both foreign and U.S.

investors. The resulting demand for U.S. dollars leads the dollar to appreciate.

The dollar’s appreciation discourages exports and encourages imports. Thus,

monetary policy succeeds in dampening aggregate demand both through the

COMPARING MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICIES IN THE OPEN ECONOMY ∂ 785

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