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[Joseph_E._Stiglitz,_Carl_E._Walsh]_Economics(Bookos.org) (1)

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a variety of transactions, inflation interferes with the efficiency of the economy by

discouraging its holding. By taking away the real value of money, inflation acts as a

tax on those who hold money. Economists refer to this distortionary effect as an

inflation tax.

This distortion is not as important in modern economies, where individuals frequently

put their money into interest-paying checking accounts instead of keeping

their cash. As the rate of inflation increases, the interest rate paid on checking

accounts normally increases as well. Even in Argentina in the 1970s, when prices

were rising at 800 percent a month, bank accounts yielded more than this. Still,

poorer individuals who do not have checking accounts—and therefore must hold

much of what little wealth they have in the form of currency—are adversely affected.

According to the Federal Reserve’s 2001 Survey of Consumer Finances, almost 10 percent

of American families do not have a checking, savings, or money market account.

These families tend to have low incomes and little wealth.

THE ECONOMY

There are two costs of inflation to the economy as a whole. The first has to do with

relative prices. Because price increases are never perfectly coordinated, increases

in the rate of inflation lead to greater variability in relative prices. If the shoe

industry makes price adjustments only every three months, then in the third

month, right before its price increase, shoes may be relatively cheap; conversely,

right after the price increase, shoes may be relatively expensive. On the other

hand, the prices of groceries might change continually throughout the three-month

period. Therefore, the ratio of the price of groceries to the price of shoes will

change continually. An average inflation rate of only 2 or 3 percent per year does

not cause much of a problem. But when the average rate is 10 percent per month,

inflation causes real distortions in how society allocates its resources. When inflation

gets very high, individuals and firms tend to allocate considerable time and

resources to avoiding its costs and to taking advantage of the discrepancies in

prices charged by different sellers. Rather than carrying money, which quickly

erodes in value, people rush to deposit their money in interest-bearing bank

accounts.

The second economy-wide cost of inflation arises from the risk and uncertainty

that it generates. If indexing were perfect, the uncertainty about the rate of inflation

would be unimportant. But as indexing is not perfect, the resulting uncertainty

makes it difficult to plan. People saving for their retirement cannot know how much

to put aside if they do not know what a dollar will be worth in the future when they

retire. Business firms borrowing money are uncertain about the price they will

receive for the goods they produce. Firms are also hurt when they build wage increases

into multiyear contracts to reflect anticipated inflation. If for any reason a firm finds

that the prices it can charge have increased less rapidly than anticipated in the

contract, the employer suffers.

Because of these economy-wide costs, countries that experience periods of very

high inflation also tend to experience slower real economic growth.

THE COSTS OF INFLATION ∂ 511

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