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[Joseph_E._Stiglitz,_Carl_E._Walsh]_Economics(Bookos.org) (1)

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3. Assume that the economy is currently at full employment

with an inflation rate of 2 percent. The government

embarks on a major new expenditure program

that increases aggregate expenditures (assume that

full-employment output is unaffected).

(a) If the central bank’s policy rule remains unchanged,

what will be the short-run and long-run effects on

output and inflation of this change in fiscal policy?

What will be the long-run effects on the real interest

rate at full employment?

(b) Suppose the central bank’s policy rule adjusts to

reflect the change in the full-employment real interest

rate. Will this alter the short-run or long-run

effects of the fiscal expansion?

4. In late 2000, there were signs the U.S. economy might be

heading into a recession. Some argued that the rise in

energy prices during 2000 was the cause of the economic

slowdown. Others pointed to the decline in the

stock market and argued that this decline in wealth

would reduce consumption spending. Assume the

economy is initially at full employment.

(a) Using the ADI-IA (inflation adjustment) framework,

explain how a rise in energy prices would affect

output and inflation in the short run.

(b) Using the ADI-IA framework, explain how a fall in

stock prices would affect output and inflation in the

short run.

(c) Suppose you are chair of the Federal Reserve

Board. If your only concern is keeping inflation

stable, would you raise interest rates or would you

lower them if you believe energy prices are the

cause of the slowdown? Would you raise interest

rates or would you lower them if you believe the

stock market decline is the cause of the slowdown?

(d) Suppose you are chair of the Federal Reserve

Board. If your only concern is keeping unemployment

stable, would you raise interest rates or would

you lower them if you believe energy prices are the

cause of the slowdown? Would you raise interest

rates or would you lower them if you believe the

stock market decline is the cause of the slowdown?

5. Suppose a fall in net exports due to a recession among

our major trading partners causes a recession in the

United States.

(a) If fiscal policy is used to stimulate the economy

and return it to full employment, what happens

to the real interest rate, investment, and future

output?

(b) If monetary policy is used to stimulate the economy

and return it to full employment, what happens

to the real interest rate, investment, and future

output?

6. In parliamentary governments, such as the United

Kingdom, the prime minister can announce a change in

taxation or expenditure and implement that change

almost immediately. How might this fact affect the balance

between the use of monetary and fiscal policy for

short-run stabilization?

REVIEW AND PRACTICE ∂ 753

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