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[Joseph_E._Stiglitz,_Carl_E._Walsh]_Economics(Bookos.org) (1)

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Finally, although we have emphasized the role of the central bank’s policy rule

in producing the negative slope of the ADI curve, other factors are also at work.

When the rise in prices outpaces the growth in money, the real value of money held

by households and businesses is reduced. This reduction in real wealth may cause

consumption and investment spending to decline. When prices rise more rapidly

than nominal wages, real wages fall and this may cause consumption and spending

to decline. In an open economy, more rapidly rising prices will, for a given

exchange rate, increase the prices of domestically produced goods relative to

foreign-produced goods. As a result, demand will shift away from domestic

goods and toward foreign goods, reducing the overall demand for domestic output.

These factors, like the monetary policy response we have emphasized, contribute

to the negative relationship between inflation and GDP that is captured by the

ADI curve.

To summarize, the negative relationship between inflation and short-run

equilibrium GDP represented by the ADI curve is based on the following set of

linkages:

Increases in

inflation

Increases in real interest

rate

Decreases in

aggregate spending

Wrap-Up

THE AGGREGATE DEMAND–INFLATION (ADI)

CURVE

The ADI curve shows, for each value of inflation, the economy’s short-run equilibrium

level of output. Higher rates of inflation are associated with higher real

interest rates, lower aggregate expenditures, and lower equilibrium output.

The central bank’s monetary policy rule—the way monetary policy reacts

to inflation—and the sensitivity of aggregate spending to the real interest are

important in determining the negative slope of the ADI curve.

WHAT CAN SHIFT THE ADI CURVE?

Just as it is important to understand why the ADI curve has a negative slope, so too

we need to understand the factors that can cause the curve to shift. For a given monetary

policy rule, an ADI curve shows the equilibrium level of GDP for each rate of

inflation. Movements in aggregate demand and GDP caused by changes in inflation

translate into movements along a given ADI curve. Changes in any other factor that,

for a given inflation rate, affect aggregate demand will shift the curve. Two of the

most important examples of factors that can cause such a shift are fiscal policy and

changes in the central bank’s policy rule.

694 ∂ CHAPTER 31 AGGREGATE DEMAND AND INFLATION

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