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[Joseph_E._Stiglitz,_Carl_E._Walsh]_Economics(Bookos.org) (1)

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Table 39.1

ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS AND HOW THEY FARE

Investment Expected returns Risk Tax advantages Liquidity

Banking savings Low Low None High

accounts

CDs (certificates Slightly higher than Low None Slightly less than

of deposit) savings accounts savings accounts

Houses High returns from Used to be thought Many special tax Relatively illiquid;

mid-1970s to mid- safe; viewed to be advantages may take long

1980s; in many somewhat riskier now time to find

areas, negative re-

“good buyer”

turns in late 1980s,

early 1990s, high

returns since late

1990s

Federal government Normally slightly Uncertain market value Exempt from state Small charge for

long-term bonds higher than T-bills next period; uncertain income tax selling before

purchasing power in

maturity

long run

Corporate Bonds Higher return than Risks of long-term None Slightly less liquid

federal bonds federal bonds plus than federal

risk of default

bonds (depends

on corporation

issuing bond)

Stocks High High Capital gains re- Those listed on

ceive tax prefer- major exchange

ence if stocks held are highly liquid;

for more than 1 year others may be

highly illiquid

Mutual Funds Reflect assets in Reflect assets in Reflect assets in High

which funds are which funds are which funds are

invested invested; reduced invested

risk from diversification

T-bills About same as CDs Low Exempt from state Small charge for

income tax

selling before

maturity

Few assets offer guaranteed returns. If the stock market booms, a stock share

might yield 20 percent; but if the market drops, the total return might be zero or

even negative. To compare two alternative investment options, we apply the concept

of expected returns. The expected return on an asset is the single number

that takes into account both the various possible returns per dollar invested and

the chances that each of those possibilities will occur. If there is a one-in-four chance

(a 25 percent probability) a stock will yield a 20 percent return over the next year,

DESIRABLE ATTRIBUTES OF INVESTMENTS ∂ 871

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