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Evolution__3rd_Edition

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660 PART 5 / Macroevolution<br />

(a)<br />

Extinction rate per lineage (Myr)<br />

0.16<br />

0.12<br />

0.08<br />

0.04<br />

0<br />

Observed<br />

Model<br />

400 300 200 100 0<br />

Geological time (Myr)<br />

Figure B23.3<br />

Changes in the quality of the sedimentary record alone can<br />

account for most of the observed changes in the extinction<br />

rate. The model used the basic idea of Figure B23.2 to predict<br />

the observed extinction rate, from the real changes in the<br />

sedimentary record between successive geological time<br />

intervals. (a) The observed and predicted (“model”)<br />

extinction rates using absolute geological time in millions<br />

of years, and assuming that the extinction rate decreases<br />

asteroid impacts could well be mistaken. The power laws of<br />

Section 23.4 would also need to be reinterpreted. Peters and Foote’s<br />

work does not affect whether or not extinction rates fit a power<br />

law. However, the work suggests that any power law may arise not<br />

because of factors influencing biological extinction, but because<br />

of factors influencing how much sedimentary rock is deposited and<br />

then preserved and brought to the surface in successive geological<br />

time intervals. This radical interpretation returns to the skepticism<br />

of Lyell and Darwin, though with a new and exact model of how<br />

the quality of the fossil record influences observed extinction rates.<br />

Their second interpretation is that some common factor may<br />

cause changes both in the sedimentary record and in the extinction<br />

rate. For instance, changes in the extinction rate may be explained<br />

by changes in the sea level. Extinction rates tend to go up when the<br />

(b)<br />

1.20<br />

Extinction rate per stage<br />

0.80<br />

0.40<br />

0<br />

400 300 200 100 0<br />

Geological time (Myr)<br />

Observed<br />

Model<br />

steadily over time. (b) The observed and predicted<br />

(“model”) extinction rates assuming all geological time<br />

intervals have the same length and that the extinction<br />

rate is constant. The “observed” graph in (a) is much<br />

the same as in Figure 23.2 although this one uses a<br />

slightly updated version of Sepkoski’s dataset. The<br />

observed rates differ in (a) and (b) because of the<br />

different treatment of the geological time stages. From<br />

Peters & Foote (2002).<br />

sea level falls (see Figure 23.5), because (as noted above) the<br />

habitat available for many marine animals is reduced. But when<br />

the sea level goes down, the amount of sedimentary rock will also<br />

go down. Thus, the same factor could cause both an increase in real<br />

biological extinctions, and a change in the quality of the<br />

sedimentary record. Moreover, other extinction factors, such as<br />

climate, plate tectonics, and perhaps even vulcanism and asteroid<br />

impacts, may be associated with changes in sea level. Thus, the<br />

results of Peters and Foote do not rule out a role for the traditional<br />

causes of mass extinctions. However, their research raises the<br />

standard of evidence needed to demonstrate a real increase in<br />

extinction rates. A convincing demonstration of a mass extinction<br />

must take account of artifacts caused by the fluctuating<br />

sedimentary record.<br />

Different mollusks grow up in different ways. In gastropod snails, planktonic<br />

and direct development are two of the main types of development. With planktonic<br />

development, the egg is released into the surface waters of the ocean and develops<br />

into a larval form which disperses among, and feeds on, the microscopic organisms<br />

(called “plankton”) that float near the ocean surface. After a while, the larva settles and<br />

..

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