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Evolution__3rd_Edition

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8 If natural selection favors one form of a character in<br />

one species and another form in another, and if the different<br />

forms of the character cause different speciation<br />

or extinction rates, then there may be a trend toward<br />

more of the kind of species with higher speciation, or<br />

lower extinction, rates. The process is called species<br />

selection.<br />

9 If the niches of some species last longer than others,<br />

those species will have lower extinction rates. If some<br />

niches are so positioned that new species can easily<br />

evolve from them, then the species occupying them<br />

will be more likely than average to give rise to new taxa.<br />

10 Different kinds of species may suffer differentially<br />

in mass extinctions. The relation between the characters<br />

of taxa and their extinction rates changed between<br />

the late Cretaceous and the Cretaceous–Tertiary mass<br />

extinction.<br />

11 Large-scale evolutionary replacements of one<br />

taxon by another occur by either competitive or<br />

Further reading<br />

CHAPTER 23 / Extinction and Radiation 679<br />

independent replacement. The frequencies of the taxa<br />

through time provide a partial test between the two<br />

explanations.<br />

12 The global number of species since the Cambrian<br />

may show a logistic increase up to the Permian followed<br />

by a steady increase; or a persistent exponential<br />

increase; or may have been constant. The different<br />

results depend mainly on differing statistical corrections<br />

to the observed number of fossil species through<br />

time.<br />

13 Various views are possible about the importance of<br />

mass extinctions in the history of life. At one extreme,<br />

mass extinctions may be a distinct kind of event and a<br />

creative historic force, responsible for shaping many of<br />

the observed changes in the fossil record. At the other<br />

extreme, mass extinctions may differ little from extinctions<br />

at other times, or may even be artifacts, and have<br />

made little difference to the course of evolutionary<br />

history.<br />

Wilson (1992) is a book for a broad audience on biological diversity. It covers many<br />

themes not covered in this chapter, such as the number of extinctions that modern<br />

humans are causing. Gould’s Natural History column (1977b, 1980, 1983, 1985, 1991,<br />

1993, 1996, 1998, 2000, 2002a) included a number of essays on extinction, particularly<br />

mass extinction. Jablonski (1986, 2000) looks at the macroevolutionary significance of<br />

mass extinctions. See also Gould (2002b). Magurran & May (1999) contains researchlevel<br />

papers. Givnish & Sytsma (1997) is a multiauthor research-level book using<br />

molecules to study adaptive ratiation.<br />

Sereno (1999) compares the radiation of dinosaurs at the end of the Triassic with the<br />

Tertiary radiation of mammals (see his fig. 1). The dinosaur radiation was much<br />

slower, perhaps reflecting the less catastrophic extinction at the end of the Triassic than<br />

the end of the Cretaceous a but comparative analysis of radiation rates is largely a<br />

research problem for the future. See also Chapter 13 on character displacement and<br />

Chapter 16 on divergence.<br />

A further factor that causes extinction, perhaps particularly in plants, is that a species<br />

increasingly hybridizes with other species as it becomes rare. Its genes then become<br />

diluted out of existence. See Levin (2000) and his references.<br />

For Sepkoski’s work, Sepkoski (1992) is a standard source and cites earlier papers.<br />

But his database continued to be updated until his death in 1999, and Peters & Foote

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