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Evolution__3rd_Edition

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..<br />

We construct a model of selection<br />

and migration<br />

Polymorphism or genetic unity can<br />

result<br />

AA Aa aa<br />

1 − s 1 − s 1<br />

CHAPTER 5 / The Theory of Natural Selection 133<br />

The A allele has frequency p in the local population. Suppose that in other subpopulations,<br />

natural selection is more favorable to the gene A, and it has a higher frequency in<br />

them, p m on average. p m will then be the frequency of A among immigrants to our local<br />

population. In the local population, A genes are lost at a rate ps per generation. They are<br />

gained at a rate (p m − p)m per generation: m is the proportion of genes that are immigrants<br />

in a generation. Immigration increases the frequency in the local population by<br />

an amount p m − p because gene frequency is increased only in so far as the immigrating<br />

population has a higher frequency of A than the local population. If the immigrating<br />

gene frequency is the same as the local gene frequency, immigration has no effect.<br />

There are three possible outcomes. If migration is powerful relative to selection,<br />

the rate of gain of A genes by immigration will exceed the rate of loss by selection. The<br />

local population will be swamped by immigrants. The frequency of the A gene will<br />

increase until it reaches p m . If migration is weak relative to selection, the frequency of<br />

A will decrease until it is locally eliminated. The third possibility is an exact balance<br />

between migration and selection. There will be an equilibrium (with local frequency<br />

of A = p*) if:<br />

Rate of gain of A by migration = rate of loss of A by selection<br />

(p m − p*)m = p*s (5.14)<br />

⎛ m ⎞<br />

p* = pm⎜<br />

⎟<br />

(5.15)<br />

⎝ s + m⎠<br />

In the first case, migration unifies the gene frequencies in both populations, much in<br />

the same manner as Section 5.14.2: migration is so strong relative to selection that it is<br />

as if selection were not operating. In the second and third cases, migration is not strong<br />

enough to unify the gene frequencies and we should observe regional differences in the<br />

gene frequency; it would be higher in some places than in others. In the third case there<br />

is a polymorphism within the local population; A is maintained by migration even<br />

though it is locally disadvantageous.<br />

This section has made two main points. First, a balance of migration and selection is<br />

another process to add to the list of processes that can maintain polymorphism.<br />

Second, we have seen how migration can be strong enough to unify gene frequencies<br />

between subpopulations, or if migration is weaker the gene frequencies of different<br />

subpopulations can diverge under selection. This theory is also relevant in the question<br />

of the relative importance of gene flow and selection in maintaining biological species<br />

(Section 13.7.2, p. 369).

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