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Working Life Barometer in the Baltic Countries 2002 (pdf) - mol.fi

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248<br />

is particularly great. In <strong>the</strong> view of many, <strong>the</strong> employment situation <strong>in</strong> a year's<br />

time may be much worse. There are very few who th<strong>in</strong>k that it will be much<br />

better.<br />

In Lithuania <strong>in</strong> 1998, <strong>the</strong>re was a lot of scepticism as regards development <strong>in</strong><br />

employment. Now, though, <strong>the</strong> situation has evened out. In <strong>2002</strong>, <strong>the</strong> expectations<br />

<strong>in</strong> Estonia concern<strong>in</strong>g employment turned out to be more negative than<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r two countries. Only 15 per cent of <strong>the</strong> Estonians expect that employment<br />

will improve dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> com<strong>in</strong>g year, and 50 per cent believe that it<br />

will deteriorate. Only one per cent expect <strong>the</strong> situation to be much better <strong>in</strong> a<br />

year's time. By contrast, many times that number - 14 per cent - reckon that it<br />

will be much worse.<br />

The development <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy of one's own workplace dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> com<strong>in</strong>g<br />

year is viewed considerably more optimistically than <strong>the</strong> general employment<br />

development. For <strong>the</strong> workplace economy also, <strong>the</strong> expectations are <strong>the</strong> most<br />

positive <strong>in</strong> Latvia. Future trends <strong>in</strong> this aspect are clearly regarded <strong>the</strong> most<br />

unfavourably <strong>in</strong> Lithuania.<br />

In both Estonia and Latvia, positive expectations have <strong>in</strong>creased dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

three years. The development <strong>in</strong> Lithuania has been <strong>the</strong> opposite. There, <strong>in</strong><br />

1998, one-<strong>fi</strong>fth reckoned that <strong>the</strong> economy at <strong>the</strong>ir own workplace was gett<strong>in</strong>g<br />

worse. Now, <strong>the</strong> correspond<strong>in</strong>g proportion has grown to over one-third, 34 per<br />

cent. The percentage of favourable expectations, however, has stayed more or<br />

less <strong>the</strong> same. The Lithuanians' expectations are somewhat contradictory, because<br />

<strong>the</strong>y believe more than before that employment <strong>in</strong> general will improve,<br />

but at <strong>the</strong> same time <strong>the</strong>ir belief <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy of <strong>the</strong>ir own workplace has<br />

weakened. In Estonia and Latvia, <strong>the</strong> evaluation goes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> same direction for<br />

both aspects.<br />

Men's and women's expectations as regards employment differ only a little<br />

from each o<strong>the</strong>r. In all three countries, both <strong>the</strong> male and <strong>the</strong> female workers<br />

have estimated less often than before that <strong>the</strong> general employment situation is<br />

gett<strong>in</strong>g worse. Among <strong>the</strong> men, <strong>the</strong> change has been slightly greater than for<br />

<strong>the</strong> women. With <strong>the</strong> exception of Lithuania, <strong>the</strong> changes <strong>in</strong> positive assessments<br />

have been small for both males and females.

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