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Inventing our future Collective action for a sustainable economy

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Where do we want to be?<br />

Headline regional ambitions<br />

43<br />

lower-quartile earnings to 60 per cent of average earnings over the lifetime<br />

of the strategy and thereby reversing the decline seen in recent years.<br />

A progression in skill levels will be among the key tools <strong>for</strong> achieving this.<br />

Figure 10<br />

Gross full-time, median and lower-quartile earnings as a share of<br />

Gross earnings as share of regional average (%)<br />

regional average earnings (%)<br />

100<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

81.5<br />

58.4<br />

80.6<br />

57.6<br />

80.7<br />

S<strong>our</strong>ce: Annual Survey of H<strong>our</strong>s and Earnings (2007)<br />

Average<br />

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Median Lower quartile<br />

57.2<br />

Greenhouse gases<br />

Reducing CO 2 emissions to 60 per cent below 1990 levels by 2031 would<br />

put the region at the <strong>for</strong>efront of tackling climate change and in a prime<br />

position to exploit the global commercial opportunities of the $548 billion<br />

environmental goods and services market.<br />

With its long coastline, low-lying geography and vulnerability to coastal<br />

flooding, the East of England is the UK region most at risk from the effects<br />

of climate change. The twin challenges of adaptation to and mitigation<br />

of these effects, and the academic and commercial expertise within the<br />

region, provide a strong rationale <strong>for</strong> bold <strong>action</strong> to put the region at the<br />

<strong>for</strong>efront of global regions.<br />

The draft Climate Change Bill proposes binding UK targets of at least a<br />

60 per cent reduction of CO 2 emissions below a 1990 baseline by 2050,<br />

with an interim target of between 26 and 32 per cent by 2020. xvii<br />

The Climate Change Bill also seeks to set five-year carbon budgets,<br />

recognising that it is not just a 2020 or 2050 end point that is important,<br />

but the cumulative level of emissions and the need to live within carbon<br />

budgets in getting there. xviii Yet there is increasing evidence that to limit<br />

global warming, average temperatures need to remain within a ‘safe<br />

level’ of 2ºC above pre-industrial levels. This may require industrial<br />

economies to make near to an 80 per cent cut by 2050. xix<br />

xvii. Draft Climate Change Bill, Department <strong>for</strong> Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (2007).<br />

xviii. Akin to a financial budget, a ‘Carbon Budget’ refers to the aggregated quantity of CO 2 emissions.<br />

The draft Climate Change Bill proposes that carbon budget periods be set at least three periods (ie<br />

<strong>for</strong> 15 years) ahead. This approach provides <strong>for</strong> both certainty and flexibility in the system: emissions<br />

can vary between years provided the total over a five year period does not exceed the budget.<br />

xix. This is consistent with maintaining atmospheric concentrations of CO 2 at or below 450ppmv, which<br />

recent IPCC evidence suggests would give us a reasonable chance (30 per cent) of not exceeding the<br />

2ºC stabilisation level. The government is currently reviewing the national target of a 60 per cent<br />

reduction in emissions by 2050, and whether this should in fact be closer to 80 per cent by 2050, in<br />

line with the trajectory that underpins the RES headline target.<br />

79.9<br />

56.0<br />

78.8<br />

55.3<br />

79.4<br />

55.3

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