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Reaching the marginalized: EFA global monitoring report, 2010; 2010

Reaching the marginalized: EFA global monitoring report, 2010; 2010

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THE AID COMPACT: FALLING SHORT OF COMMITMENTSAid for educationBox 4.8: Cash-on-delivery aid raises as many problems as it solvesLinking aid to results has an intuitive appeal. If <strong>the</strong>goal is decent quality education, why not rewardgovernments with a cash payment for every additionalchild who completes primary education or achievesabove a set score on a standardized test? This is <strong>the</strong>central idea behind cash-on-delivery aid, which aimsto provide incentives for recipients to address <strong>the</strong>institutional and governance problems that canprevent aid from producing results.The appeal of cash-on-delivery aid is its focus onresults. Payments to aid recipients would be madeon <strong>the</strong> basis of verified improvement in outcomes(say, children completing primary education andreaching a specified learning standard) from anestablished baseline. Recipient governments would beleft free to decide on policies and on how to spend <strong>the</strong>aid <strong>the</strong>y receive. While superficially offering a route togreater ownership, this model poses several problems:Penalizing governments for outcomes <strong>the</strong>y do notcontrol. School attendance figures and completionrates can be strongly affected by factors such asdroughts, floods, unemployment and economicgrowth. In <strong>the</strong>ory, an external auditor couldadjust achieved outcomes (and aid payments)by controlling for exogenous factors, and donorscould renegotiate <strong>the</strong>ir contract with aid recipients.In practice, unravelling <strong>the</strong> effects of variousinfluences requires data that are ei<strong>the</strong>r unavailableor not likely to become available until much later.Shifting <strong>the</strong> risk. Development is a risky business.Nei<strong>the</strong>r national governments nor aid donors knowin advance with any certainty which policy inputs(public investment, targeted incentives, governancereforms and so on) will work. By conditioning aid onbroadly shared policy inputs, donors share <strong>the</strong> riskof failure with <strong>the</strong> recipient. Basing aid on outputtransfers risk to <strong>the</strong> recipient. If a particular input,designed and implemented with a genuine intentto achieve a positive outcome, does not work,<strong>the</strong> would-be aid recipient loses out while <strong>the</strong> donoris unaffected. Governments might adopt policiesaimed at removing a set of barriers to educationof <strong>the</strong> <strong>marginalized</strong>, only to find that <strong>the</strong> policiesproduce weaker results than expected, incurringcash-on-delivery aid penalties. In effect, this isold-style conditionality on a no-risk basis for donors.Far from encouraging innovation in aid recipientcountries, cash-on-delivery could have <strong>the</strong> oppositeeffect, creating incentives to avoid risk-taking.Diverting attention from <strong>the</strong> streng<strong>the</strong>ning ofsystems. Cash-on-delivery aid places a premium onachieving short-term targets, such as getting morechildren through primary school, ra<strong>the</strong>r than longtermgoals such as streng<strong>the</strong>ning <strong>the</strong> educationsystem, improving child nutrition and training moreteachers. For governments that choose cash-ondeliveryaid for quantitative targets, <strong>the</strong>re are alsopotential tensions with qualitative goals, as hasbeen widely documented in <strong>the</strong> health sector.Creating incentives for mis<strong>report</strong>ing. By linkingpayments to verified results, cash-on-delivery aidhas <strong>the</strong> potential to create perverse incentives, withgovernments being rewarded for over-<strong>report</strong>ing —ano<strong>the</strong>r phenomenon documented in <strong>the</strong> healthsector. Programmes under <strong>the</strong> auspices of <strong>the</strong> GAVIAlliance include a payment for every vaccinatedchild above a baseline. Research indicates that insome countries, including Bangladesh, Indonesiaand Mali, official data systematically understate<strong>the</strong> baseline and overstate subsequent coverage.Bypassing ‘underperformers’. Cash-on-deliveryaid effectively penalizes countries that miss <strong>the</strong>irtargets. This raises <strong>the</strong> immediate question of whatto do with such countries, many of which are likelyto be in <strong>the</strong> greatest need of support. Should <strong>the</strong>ybe disregarded? Or should it be assumed that <strong>the</strong>prospect of increased aid will create an incentivefor policy change?Accelerated progress towards education for allrequires far-reaching changes in monetary and nonmonetaryincentives, backed by changes in rules foraccountability and <strong>report</strong>ing, aimed at changinginstitutional behaviour. Under some limited conditions,cash-on-delivery approaches might complementbroader performance-based incentives, but <strong>the</strong>yshould be developed in <strong>the</strong> context of national policy,not unequal negotiations between donors andrecipients.Sources: Birdsall et al. (2008); de Renzio and Woods (2007);Lockheed (2008); Lim et al. (2008).By linkingpayments toverified results,cash-on-deliveryaid has <strong>the</strong>potential tocreate perverseincentivesConclusionTranslating <strong>the</strong> Paris Declaration principles intopractical strategies requires donors and recipientsto reconsider <strong>the</strong> distribution of political power inaid partnerships. Effective aid requires a nationalpolicy environment in recipient countries that isconducive to planning. It also requires donors to acton <strong>the</strong>ir commitments to deliver more predictableaid. Donors also need to resist <strong>the</strong> temptationto micromanage aid, ei<strong>the</strong>r formally (throughconditionality) or informally (through control overfinance). Delivering development assistance in waysthat streng<strong>the</strong>n national capabilities is not justmore effective – it is a route out of aid dependence.239

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