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Tamil Research Institute RAPID TECHNO-ECONOMIC FEASIBILITY REPORT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF COLACHEL PORT AT TAMILNADU FINAL REPORT exports; these businesses further add back to the economy in form of taxes, employment and investments. Colachel is a large scale port project; it is expected to drive economic growth in the country especially in the hinterland area. The following section discusses the nature of economic impact of Colachel and quantifies it. 13.4.1. Economic impact of the port Colachel port will capture a substantial share of India's trans-shipment cargo which today gets trans-shipped in the foreign ports. It will also capture traffic from other countries in the region specially traffic from the Indian subcontinent countries. The cargo handling revenue generated by the port in 2030 is ~Rs 4,500 crore (it excludes revenue from traffic shifted from other Indian ports to Colachel); this is accounted as the direct economic impact of the port. Additionally, the port operations will benefit the ancillary port based businesses including inland transportation businesses in the region. The port will also employ a large pool of employees for port operations. Impact on economy due to growth of ancillary industries and increased spending by port employees is accounted for in indirect impact of the port. This is estimated through an economic multiplier of 2.1. The economic multiplier is calculated based on economic impact studies for different port projects (E.g. Economic Impacts study of ports of Hamburg and Le Havre, <strong>Port</strong> of Auckland, South Carolina State <strong>Port</strong> etc.) and corrections made for the Indian context through BCG-TYPSA benchmarks. The indirect economic impact of the port is estimated to be ~ Rs 4900 crore in 2030. 13.4.2. Economic impact through businesses that would benefit from the port The Colachel port will shift hinterland cargo which is currently getting trans-shipped in Colombo to direct gateway cargo through Colachel. This is primarily due to elimination of one leg of cargo handling in Colombo. This will reduce the logistics cost of the importers and exporters in the hinterland area (the chapter on traffic study discusses this in details). The logistics cost reduction accounts for Rs ~ 1,400 cr of savings for the related businesses in 2030. This will make them more competitive in the export markets and hence help grow their businesses further. It is estimated that the related industries will receive a profit boost of ~ Rs 1,500 cr (inclusive of wages, assuming a cost elasticity of trade of 0.8) in 2030. This further will have an indirect impact on the economy of ~ Rs 2,600 cr in 2030 (assuming an economic multiplier of 2.9 based on economic impact studies in India including Quantifying the Income and Employment Multipliers for Mumbai Region by National Council of Applied Economic Research) The total economic impact of the project is estimated at ~Rs 13,500 cr in 2030. The following figure summarises the economic impact for the Colachel port project. Please note, this is an estimate arrived at on the basis of secondary studies; a further social-economic impact assessment study can be done for refining the economic impact estimates. 194 www.tamilri.com
Tamil Research Institute RAPID TECHNO-ECONOMIC FEASIBILITY REPORT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF COLACHEL PORT AT TAMILNADU FINAL REPORT (in Rs cr) 15,000 2.9X 10,000 2.1X 1,407 2,673 4,080 4,931 13,495 5,000 9,414 0 4,483 Direct port impact Impact of financials of the port • Includes positive cash flow through port operations • Includes wages provided for port operation Indirect &induced port impact Total port impact Multiplier effect of the port activities • Impact of spend by the port workers • Impact of profit and wages of the suppliers/ contractors of the port Direct related impact Boost to export/ import oriented hinterland industries • Higher profitability due to logistic cost savings • Revenue growth due to improved competitiveness Indirect &induced related impact Total related impact Multiplier effect of the boost hinterland industries • Impact of spend by the workers in the industries • Impact of profit and wages suppliers/ancillaries Total Economic Impact Source: BCG Analysis, Economic impact study of European ports – Hamburg and Le Havre, Economic Impact study of industries in Mah arashtra Figure 150: Economic impact of the port project 195 www.tamilri.com
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