Enayam Port

Tamil Research Institute
RAPID TECHNO-ECONOMIC FEASIBILITY REPORT FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF COLACHEL PORT AT TAMILNADU
Indian container traffic trans-shipped FINAL REPORT through Colombo,
Singapore and Klang expected to be ~7-11 Mn TEUs by 2025
Indian Cargo transhipped through Colombo, Singapore, Klang
in '000 TEUs
2018 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045
Base Case
Western Europe route 1,046 1,285 1,573 2,221 3,050 4,086 5,180
East coast of North & Central America 1,340 1,641 1,846 2,554 3,473 4,653 5,899
West coast of North & Central America 1,240 1,524 2,334 3,421 4,666 6,251 7,924
Conservative Case
Western Europe route 1,025 1,202 1,267 1,591 2,042 2,544 2,879
East coast of North & Central America 1,313 1,536 1,485 1,824 2,313 2,873 3,225
West coast of North & Central America 1,215 1,426 1,896 2,492 3,216 4,076 4,810
Aggressive Case
Western Europe route 1,025 1,337 1,844 2,911 4,471 6,513 8,046
East coast of North & Central America 1,313 1,707 2,171 3,367 5,139 7,510 9,276
West coast of North & Central America 1,215 1,586 2,693 4,334 6,480 9,263 11,454
1. All estimates excluding TS cargo that is expected to
be converted to gateway cargo in 2018
2. All containers double counted due to TS
Note: Assumptions - % of trans-shipment remains same
Source:, IHS international trade data, BCG estimates
Figure 67: Traffic on different routes for Indian trans-shipment traffic
Traffic Projections
Traffic projections: Trans-shipment traffic from India for
Colachel estimated to reach 1.8- 4.4 Mn TEUs by 2030
The following figure describes the projections for the trans-shipment traffic for Enayam. The traffic shares for
Enayam are multiplied with the traffic estimates for each route to arrive at Enayam's traffic.
Colachel's
share of TS
traffic
Container
traffic
growth
Key Assumptions for traffic projections
Colombo
All routes
S'pore,
Klang
Transatlantic
routes
S'pore,
Klang
Transpacific
routes
CAGR of
container
traffic (%)
Assumptions
Basis of
assumptions
10-50%
rampup ~50% 50-65% • Assuming 2 of
the leading liners
shift to Colachel
5-25% ~25% 25-40%
1-5% ~5% 5-20%
10-12% 6-8% 4-6%
2015-2025 2026-2035 2035-2045
• Low traffic in the
initial years –
shifting of routes
to happen over a
period of time
• Higher GDP
growth rate 6-
7% in first 5
years, tapers
down to 4%
Container traffic (in 'Mn TEUs)
5
4
3
2
Traffic projections for India based TS
1 0.7
0.5
0.4
0
2020
Base Case
Conservative Case
Aggressive Case
1.6
0.7
1.1
2022
2.9
2.2
1.4
2025
3.4
2.5
1.5
2027
4.4
3.0
1.8
2030
1. Traffic estimated only includes TS traffic for India
2. Traffic excludes TS traffic from Chennai, VOC &
Cochin that would get converted to Gateway
traffic of Colachel (analysis in later pages)
Figure 68: trans-shipment traffic projections
Beyond India's traffic, Enayam would also gain share of Indian subcontinent traffic getting trans-shipped through
Colombo. The following figure shows traffic projections for Indian subcontinent trans-shipment traffic that can be
captured by Enayam.
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