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Tamil Research Institute<br />

RAPID TECHNO-ECONOMIC FEASIBILITY REPORT FOR<br />

DEVELOPMENT OF COLACHEL PORT AT TAMILNADU<br />

FINAL REPORT<br />

Methodology used for forecasting Transshipment Traffic<br />

Year 2045<br />

Year 2035<br />

Year 2025<br />

Current<br />

Cargo Growth Estimates<br />

Transshipment potential<br />

% share for Colachel<br />

Total<br />

Containers<br />

traffic of India<br />

Estimation of TS<br />

traffic<br />

1. Map key container<br />

traffic routes to/<br />

from India<br />

2. Estimate % share<br />

of transshipment<br />

on each of these<br />

routes<br />

3. Identify Cargo<br />

origin/ destination<br />

ports and<br />

transshipment<br />

hubs on each<br />

route<br />

1. Calculate end to end cost<br />

economics for current<br />

transshipment cargo<br />

through hinterland ports vs.<br />

gateway through Colachel<br />

2. Identify contours of cost<br />

indifference<br />

3. Estimate cargo traffic in the<br />

region unfavorable to<br />

Colachel<br />

Converts to Gateway<br />

1. Calculate end to end cost<br />

economics for current<br />

transshipment cargo<br />

through hinterland ports vs.<br />

gateway through Colachel<br />

2. Identify contours of cost<br />

indifference<br />

3. Estimate cargo traffic in the<br />

region favorable to<br />

Colachel<br />

1. Identify routes / O/D pairs<br />

that are cost economical<br />

through Colachel<br />

2. Split traffic on favorable<br />

routes by lines – identify<br />

key liners to be attracted<br />

3. Identify key imperative<br />

assess Colachel's ability<br />

to win share<br />

4. Estimate target share of<br />

traffic by route / liner<br />

% share for Colachel<br />

% share for Colachel<br />

1. Assume a higher traffic<br />

share %age given favorable<br />

cost economics<br />

Total<br />

Colachel<br />

Traffic<br />

Figure 62: Description of methodology<br />

78<br />

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