Energi i fremtiden - globale, regionale og nationale ... - Teknologirådet
Energi i fremtiden - globale, regionale og nationale ... - Teknologirådet
Energi i fremtiden - globale, regionale og nationale ... - Teknologirådet
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illion dollars (2000)<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
- 50<br />
- 100<br />
- 150<br />
- 200<br />
100%<br />
80%<br />
60%<br />
40%<br />
20%<br />
0%<br />
Contributory Factors in CO 2<br />
Reduction 2002-2030<br />
5%<br />
10%<br />
20%<br />
7%<br />
58%<br />
World<br />
8%<br />
12%<br />
21%<br />
10%<br />
49%<br />
OECD<br />
Improvements in end-use efficiency contribute for more than<br />
half of decrease in emissions, and renewables use for 20%<br />
21%<br />
15%<br />
1%<br />
63%<br />
Transition economies<br />
5%<br />
4%<br />
17%<br />
7%<br />
67%<br />
Developing countries<br />
End-use efficiency gains<br />
Fuel switching in end uses<br />
Increased renewables in power generation Increased nuclear in power generation<br />
Changes in the fossil-fuel mix in power generation<br />
Difference in European Electricity<br />
Investment in the Alternative vs.<br />
Reference Scenario<br />
2003-2030<br />
Efficiency<br />
measures<br />
Additional demand-side<br />
investment<br />
Avoided supply-side investment Difference<br />
Generation,<br />
Transmission<br />
&<br />
Distribution<br />
Additional investments on the demand side more than offset by lower<br />
investment on the supply side – but prices are higher<br />
79
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