sectoral economic costs and benefits of ghg mitigation - IPCC
sectoral economic costs and benefits of ghg mitigation - IPCC
sectoral economic costs and benefits of ghg mitigation - IPCC
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Jonathan Pershing<br />
According to the IEA’s 1998 Coal Information, approximately 5.5% <strong>of</strong> the coal produced by the<br />
member countries <strong>of</strong> the IEA received state aid, primarily in five countries (Japan, Germany,<br />
Turkey, Spain <strong>and</strong> France). Of these, only France is committed to a full closure <strong>of</strong> all subsidized<br />
production. Given the primary use <strong>of</strong> coal is in power generation, removal <strong>of</strong> such subsidies<br />
would promote the use <strong>of</strong> other fuels (most likely natural gas), somewhat (albeit marginally)<br />
reducing the impacts on fossil fuel exporters.<br />
Most Annex I Parties also provide some form <strong>of</strong> subsidy – either as investment credits or tax<br />
<strong>of</strong>fset – for petroleum exploration <strong>and</strong> development. Removal <strong>of</strong> these would drive up <strong>costs</strong> <strong>of</strong><br />
producing oil in OECD countries, leaving a higher share <strong>of</strong> the dem<strong>and</strong> to be supplied from<br />
lower cost, developing country fossil fuel exporters. In addition, most OECD countries do not<br />
fully price the use <strong>of</strong> infrastructure in the transportation sector.<br />
Table 9<br />
Country<br />
Kuwait<br />
Saudi Arabia<br />
Nigeria<br />
Venezuela<br />
Indonesia<br />
Investment Climate in Selected Fossil Fuel Exporting Countries<br />
Investment Climate<br />
up to 55% on gross pr<strong>of</strong>its for foreign investment partners; private<br />
ownership limited, intellectual property rights laxly protected.<br />
foreign owned portions <strong>of</strong> joint ventures (required for any tax<br />
concessions) still pay up to 45% in tax on gross pr<strong>of</strong>its.<br />
Foreign joint ventures allowed (outside <strong>of</strong> oil industry), although<br />
intellectual property rights agreements are seldom enforced, labor<br />
disputes are common, <strong>and</strong> domestic infrastructure is inadequate to serve<br />
a country <strong>of</strong> its size.<br />
Legal framework being simplified for foreign investment, but energybased<br />
industries still subject to foreign controls.<br />
Many sectors closed to foreign investment, country may lack adequate<br />
legal protections, revised <strong>economic</strong> policy being implemented under<br />
guidance <strong>of</strong> IMF should improve investment climate.<br />
Sources: Kuwait <strong>and</strong> Saudi Arabia: http://www.awo.net/; Nigeria, Venezuela, Indonesia: US Department<br />
<strong>of</strong> Commerce – National Trade Data Bank, (http://www.tradeport.org/ts/countries/climate.html).<br />
Developing countries account for an even larger share <strong>of</strong> subsidies. A recent analyses by the IEA<br />
<strong>of</strong> ten large developing countries suggests that the removal <strong>of</strong> these subsidies could result in CO 2<br />
emissions reductions <strong>of</strong> 17 percent in these countries – with huge financial gains for<br />
governments. 1 In some cases, subsidy removal could qualify for <strong>of</strong>fset credits under an<br />
international emissions trading regime (e.g., in Russia) further reducing the international <strong>costs</strong> <strong>of</strong><br />
meeting the Kyoto targets, <strong>and</strong> reducing possible impacts on fossil fuel exporters.<br />
Similarly, actions by exporting countries to diversify their economies may also be largely<br />
contingent on domestic action. For example, one <strong>of</strong> the constraints <strong>of</strong>ten cited in the discussion<br />
on the development <strong>of</strong> new technology is the lack <strong>of</strong> a supportive business investment<br />
environment – including difficulties in repatriating capital, high corporate taxation, <strong>and</strong> lack <strong>of</strong><br />
protection for intellectual property rights for investors. The following sample <strong>of</strong> investment<br />
climates in fossil fuel exporting countries provides some sense <strong>of</strong> this:<br />
While <strong>of</strong>ten a topic for discussion, it is extremely unlikely that current high levels <strong>of</strong> petroleum<br />
(or energy) taxes are likely to be reduced within the OECD – although such reduction might <strong>of</strong>fer<br />
exporting countries an opportunity to increase their share <strong>of</strong> the rents from oil consumption while<br />
keeping the final consumer price unchanged. For most countries that apply such taxes, they<br />
provide a substantial share <strong>of</strong> the general revenue. Furthermore, most countries, under the guise<br />
1 IEA, 1999. “Looking at Energy Subsidies, Getting the Prices Right”, forthcoming.<br />
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