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sectoral economic costs and benefits of ghg mitigation - IPCC

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Oliver Zwirner<br />

3.2.3 Increasing energy efficiency<br />

In order to reduce energy input <strong>and</strong> reduce the amount <strong>of</strong> GHG caused by industrial processes,<br />

new technology will have to replace old across the board. Climate change <strong>mitigation</strong> will<br />

therefore act as a stimulus to innovation <strong>and</strong> investment. Even simply rehabilitating old plant<br />

reduces risks. Moreover, in the majority <strong>of</strong> cases, it is reasonable to assume that new technology<br />

will be less likely to cause damage. That means that there will be less damage caused by fire <strong>and</strong><br />

other accidents that destroy assets <strong>and</strong> disrupt production in the company insured. On the other<br />

h<strong>and</strong>, increased use <strong>of</strong> complex technology brings with it the risk <strong>of</strong> technology failure or<br />

malfunction. The risk reduction effect should prevail however.<br />

In order to reduce the CO 2 emissions resulting from energy use for heating, building insulation<br />

will have to be improved <strong>and</strong> modern windows installed. Both measures reduce damage done by<br />

fire. Insulation also decreases the risk <strong>of</strong> burst water pipes in frosty weather. Well-insulated ro<strong>of</strong>s<br />

also withst<strong>and</strong> storms better.<br />

On the whole, greater energy efficiency makes buildings <strong>and</strong> technical plant more valuable <strong>and</strong><br />

that pushes up the premium. However, given that the risk <strong>of</strong> damage decreases one can not<br />

conclude that the higher value <strong>of</strong> an energy-efficient building means a higher insurance premium.<br />

Replacing electric light bulbs with fluorescent lamps cuts energy consumption by over 80%. The<br />

fire risk is also decreased because fluorescent lamps generate much less heat than normal light<br />

bulbs. This is just one example <strong>of</strong> a whole series <strong>of</strong> technical <strong>and</strong> organisational measures to<br />

increase energy efficiency <strong>and</strong> reduce the insurance risk that are being developed at the Ernest<br />

Orl<strong>and</strong>o Berkeley National Laboratory (Vine et. al. 1998).<br />

3.2.4 New Technologies-New Markets<br />

As a result <strong>of</strong> consistent climate change <strong>mitigation</strong>, energy sources <strong>and</strong> fuels that are low in or<br />

free <strong>of</strong> CO 2 <strong>and</strong> new energy-efficient technology <strong>and</strong> plant are set to come into common use,<br />

creating new risks <strong>and</strong> new markets for insurance. Leading insurance companies have always<br />

provided insurance cover for new technologies <strong>and</strong> there is no reason to assume that the<br />

introduction <strong>of</strong> GHG <strong>mitigation</strong> technologies will be any different.<br />

3.3 The Kyoto Protocol's Flexible Instruments: New business opportunities<br />

The question as to whether the flexible market mechanisms defined by the Kyoto Protocol result<br />

in realistic business opportunities for the insurance industry is still largely unclarified. The status<br />

<strong>of</strong> discussions concerning the concrete form <strong>of</strong> the instruments is not yet sufficiently advanced to<br />

allow reliable comment. The most probable are business opportunities via JI <strong>and</strong> CDM. If<br />

increasingly more projects can be realised using the mechanisms, then the industry will provide<br />

the normal services such as insurance <strong>and</strong> financing for this. Due to the long-term political risks<br />

involved very few new business areas for insurance companies are likely to result from the<br />

emissions trade, even if the seller liability created under the Kyoto Protocol provides an apparent<br />

starting point (Knoepfel et. al., 1999).<br />

References<br />

BdB (Bundesverb<strong>and</strong> deutscher Banken), 2000: www.bankenverb<strong>and</strong>.de, 28.03.2000<br />

GDV (Gesamtverb<strong>and</strong> der Deutschen Versicherungswirtschaft), 1999: Jahrbuch 1999 – Die<br />

deutsche Versicherungswirtschaft, GDV, Berlin, Germany, 126 pp.<br />

IEA (International Energy Agency), 1999: Key World Energy Statistics, IEA, Paris, France, 75<br />

pp.<br />

Knoepfel, I., J. E. Salt, A. Bode, <strong>and</strong> W. Jacobi, 1999: The Kyoto Protocol <strong>and</strong> Beyond:<br />

Potential Implications for the Insurance Industry, UNEP Insurance Industry Initative for<br />

the Environment, Geneva, Switzerl<strong>and</strong>, 25 pp.<br />

267

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