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sectoral economic costs and benefits of ghg mitigation - IPCC

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David Friedman<br />

The Kyoto Treaty <strong>and</strong> the Forest Products Industry 1<br />

David Friedman 2<br />

General Information<br />

• The U.S. Forest Products industry employs 1.37 million people directly <strong>and</strong> accounts for<br />

$267 billion in sales revenues. It ranks as one <strong>of</strong> the top ten manufacturing industries in 46<br />

states.<br />

• The industry produces 34 percent <strong>of</strong> the world’s pulp <strong>and</strong> 29 percent <strong>of</strong> the world’s paper <strong>and</strong><br />

paperboard.<br />

• The industry has an unusually long capital cycle, with replacement cycles <strong>of</strong> more than 20<br />

years.<br />

• Over the past thirty years the industry production output has doubled.<br />

• Over 45 million tons, or about 45 percent <strong>of</strong> paper is recovered each year for recycling in the<br />

U.S.<br />

Energy Intensity<br />

• Energy is an important cost component for the forest products industry as manufacturing<br />

paper <strong>and</strong> other forest products requires a tremendous amount <strong>of</strong> heat <strong>and</strong> water. Energy<br />

<strong>costs</strong> represent the third largest manufacturing cost component, representing about 6 to 8<br />

percent <strong>of</strong> total manufacturing <strong>costs</strong>.<br />

• The industry has significant cogeneration output (over 1.5 quads annually) <strong>and</strong> accounts for<br />

nearly half <strong>of</strong> the nation’s biomass energy generation.<br />

Gains in Energy Efficiency<br />

• Over the past 25 years, the industry has made great strides in energy efficiency. Based upon<br />

industry survey data, the energy intensity has dropped from 19.1 million BTUs per ton <strong>of</strong><br />

paper produced in 1972 to 11.5 million BTUs per ton in 1997.<br />

• The fuel mix has also changed significantly. Residual fuel oil accounted for 22.2% <strong>of</strong><br />

purchased <strong>and</strong> fossil energy in 1972, but amounted to only 6.3% in 1997.<br />

• The industry has also become much more energy self- sufficient over the past 25 years. Selfgenerated<br />

renewable sources <strong>of</strong> energy (which have zero net carbon emissions) increased<br />

from 40 percent <strong>of</strong> the total energy used in 1972 to 56 percent <strong>of</strong> the industry’s total energy<br />

consumption during 1997. The use <strong>of</strong> these biomass sources represented the equivalent <strong>of</strong><br />

approximately 231 million barrels <strong>of</strong> oil.<br />

Impacts <strong>of</strong> the Kyoto Treaty on the Industry<br />

• In 1999, the National Council for Air <strong>and</strong> Stream Improvement (NCASI) conducted a study<br />

on the estimated <strong>costs</strong> for the US Forest Products industry to meet the Kyoto treaty<br />

greenhouse gas reduction target. (Special Report No. 99-02, June 1999)<br />

1 This submission was distributed by Paul Cicil but not discussed at this <strong>IPCC</strong> meeting.<br />

2 American Forest <strong>and</strong> Paper Association<br />

245

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