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sectoral economic costs and benefits of ghg mitigation - IPCC

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Paul Cicio<br />

Figure 1 Energy Consumed per Unit <strong>of</strong> Output Falling<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

Index (1970=100)<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998<br />

Figure 2<br />

Carbon Emissions per Unit <strong>of</strong> Output Falling<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

Index (1974=100)<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998<br />

In addition to being energy-intensive, production <strong>of</strong> chemical products is dependent on energy<br />

fuels <strong>and</strong> feedstocks. Certain chemical processes, for example electrolysis to separate chlorine<br />

<strong>and</strong> sodium from salt water, require enormous amounts <strong>of</strong> electricity. Ethylene production, on the<br />

other h<strong>and</strong>, requires huge amounts <strong>of</strong> steam heat to complete the reaction. In fact, just about<br />

every chemical product requires some form <strong>of</strong> heat <strong>and</strong>/or pressure in its manufacture. In<br />

addition, most organic chemical production uses fossil fuels as raw materials in addition to<br />

sources <strong>of</strong> heat <strong>and</strong> power. Unfortunately, no other cost-effective source <strong>of</strong> hydrocarbons exists.<br />

As a result <strong>of</strong> these huge energy requirements, energy <strong>costs</strong> represent a large cost to the industry<br />

<strong>and</strong> there is every incentive to minimize them where feasible.<br />

Since the 1970’s when the oil crises exposed the industry’s vulnerability to wild fluctuations in<br />

oil prices, the chemical industry has made enormous strides in all areas <strong>of</strong> energy efficiency:<br />

petroleum, natural gas, electricity, etc. Since 1970, total energy consumed per unit <strong>of</strong> output has<br />

declined 35%. Energy consumed as fuel <strong>and</strong> power per unit <strong>of</strong> output has fallen by half since<br />

1970. While carbon emissions have remained relatively stable over the past 25 years, carbon<br />

emissions per unit <strong>of</strong> output have fallen 43% since 1974. While these reductions are impressive,<br />

the represent relatively easy improvements in energy efficiency <strong>and</strong> carbon emission reductions.<br />

241

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