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sectoral economic costs and benefits of ghg mitigation - IPCC

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Renewable Energy<br />

Table 2<br />

Brazil: Social Costs <strong>of</strong> Ethanol, 1978-87 – Center-South Region<br />

1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987<br />

Autonomous distilleries:<br />

Ethanol cost/liter: *<br />

Agricultural 2.23 3.42 6.17 12.0 21.1 49.7 107 476 1.38 3.32<br />

Industrial 1.84 3.22 5.48 10.8 15.2 37.0 132 316 0.70 1.92<br />

Total 4.07 6.64 11.65 22.8 36.3 86.7 239 792 2.08 5.24<br />

Total hydrous equivalent <strong>costs</strong>(US$)<br />

Per liter 0.27 0.30 0.26 0.31 0.25 0.18 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.17<br />

Per gallon 1.04 1.13 0.98 1.18 0.94 0.67 0.60 0.58 0.60 0.63<br />

Per barrel 43.5 47.5 41.1 49.4 39.3 28.3 25.1 23.8 25.3 26.4<br />

Oil price (US$/barrel) 12.7 17.3 28.7 32.5 33.5 29.3 28.5 26.4 11.6 16.6<br />

Weighted cost ** 35.2 39.3 34.9 43.9 37.5 27.2 24.2 23.3 24.8 26.0<br />

Annexed distilleries:<br />

Ethanol cost/liter:*<br />

Agricultural 2.14 3.11 5.28 12.4 24.4 48.5 156 660 1.49 3.39<br />

Industrial 0.94 2.18 3.13 4.98 6.26 14.4 73 204 0.33 1.10<br />

Total 3.08 5.29 8.41 17.4 30.7 62.9 229 864 1.82 4.49<br />

Total hydrous equivalent <strong>costs</strong> (US$):<br />

Per liter 0.20 0.23 0.17 0.23 0.20 0.12 0.15 0.17 0.14 0.14<br />

Per gallon 0.75 0.86 0.66 0.86 0.76 0.44 0.57 0.63 0.51 0.52<br />

Per barrel 31.6 36.4 27.6 36.0 32.0 18.6 23.9 26.6 21.5 21.8<br />

Oil price (US$/barrel) 12.7 17.3 28.7 32.5 33.5 29.3 28.5 26.4 11.6 16.6<br />

Weighted cost** 25.6 30.5 23.4 31.9 30.1 17.6 23.0 25.5 20.4 21.0<br />

Source: - Oil prices are taken from International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Financial Statistics (Washington, D.C.: IMF)<br />

* The ethanol <strong>costs</strong> are in cruzeiros for 1978-85, <strong>and</strong> cruzados for 1986-87.<br />

** Weighted social cost (US$/barrel) <strong>of</strong> production, which takes into account the percentage <strong>of</strong> anhydrous produced (17%-21% more efficient <strong>and</strong> 3% more<br />

costly) relative to hydrous ethanol.<br />

140

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