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sectoral economic costs and benefits of ghg mitigation - IPCC

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Transport<br />

Lack <strong>of</strong> technology data<br />

Detailed data on cost, performance <strong>and</strong> the anticipated life <strong>of</strong> existing technologies are not<br />

available. Overcoming this deficiency is a critical need. For new technologies, sharing <strong>of</strong><br />

information between countries on the above parameters is crucial.<br />

Inadequate <strong>economic</strong> data<br />

There is a need for credible data to analyze the impact <strong>of</strong> changes in energy prices on energy<br />

dem<strong>and</strong> in different sectors <strong>and</strong> their respective end uses. Such analysis would be useful in<br />

determining dem<strong>and</strong> elasticities, cross price elasticities, income elasticities <strong>and</strong> usage elasticities<br />

for various end uses. Moreover, it would be extremely valuable to assess the degree to which<br />

such elasticities are consistent or inconsistent in response to the introduction <strong>of</strong> new<br />

technologies.<br />

Lack <strong>of</strong> a satisfactory integrated policy analysis<br />

In spite <strong>of</strong> serious efforts, no fully satisfactory integrated analysis <strong>of</strong> alternative low-carbon<br />

futures is available because <strong>of</strong> the existing limitations in the framework for transportation<br />

analysis coupled with data problems. For instance, in the transport sector, just addressing<br />

efficiency improvement in technology is not sufficient for reduction <strong>of</strong> carbon emissions unless<br />

appropriate system <strong>and</strong> dem<strong>and</strong> management measures to adopt such technologies through a<br />

mixture <strong>of</strong> pricing <strong>and</strong> comm<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> control are in place.<br />

Barriers to market penetration <strong>of</strong> technologies<br />

In spite <strong>of</strong> considerable work, experts have not achieved a consensus on the most effective ways<br />

<strong>of</strong> quantitatively describing the acceptance <strong>of</strong> new technology, either in terms <strong>of</strong> the dynamics <strong>of</strong><br />

penetration or the fraction <strong>of</strong> the market at saturation.<br />

Lack <strong>of</strong> an appropriate institution<br />

There is a need to strengthen the existing institutions <strong>and</strong> to establish linkages for an effective<br />

real time communication through setting up <strong>of</strong> an apex body. The role <strong>of</strong> such an apex body<br />

would be to identify relevant institutions with a clear-cut action plan <strong>and</strong> review the existing<br />

plans <strong>and</strong> proposals. The apex body would also solicit feedback from the concerned<br />

agency/agencies on the problems <strong>of</strong> <strong>and</strong> constraints on the existing institutional <strong>and</strong> regulatory<br />

mechanism. Also, wherever necessary, appropriate legislative changes, <strong>and</strong> their effective<br />

enforcement, are required.<br />

Investments in Research <strong>and</strong> Development<br />

If energy efficiency <strong>and</strong> low-carbon solutions in the transport sector are to be taken seriously<br />

from the viewpoint <strong>of</strong> climate change strategy, increased investments in energy R&D will be<br />

needed, along with supportive programs <strong>and</strong> policies. This would call for an aggressive national<br />

commitment to some combination <strong>of</strong> targeted tax incentives <strong>and</strong> non-price policies (e.g.,<br />

accelerated R&D, demonstration programs, <strong>and</strong> efficiency codes <strong>and</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ards).<br />

References<br />

ADB/GEF/UNDP, 1998. Asia least-cost greenhouse gas abatement strategy (ALGAS) – India,<br />

Bangladesh, Thail<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Republic <strong>of</strong> Korea. Asian Development Bank/Global<br />

Environment Facility/United Nations Development Program. Manila, October.<br />

Bose, R.K., 1998. Automotive energy use <strong>and</strong> emissions control: a simulation model to analyze<br />

transport strategies for Indian metropolises. Energy Policy, 26 (13): 1001-1016.<br />

Dargay J <strong>and</strong> Gately, D., 1999. Income’s effect on car <strong>and</strong> vehicle ownership, worldwide: 1960-<br />

2015. Transportation Research Part A (33):101-138.<br />

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