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sectoral economic costs and benefits of ghg mitigation - IPCC

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Terry Barker, Lenny Bernstein, Ken Gregory, Steve Lennon <strong>and</strong> Julio Torres Martinez<br />

• Marc Darras made the point that most decisions related to carbon reduction are not motivated<br />

by global issues, but rather by local issues such as health, local air quality, etc. More<br />

information on this aspect needs to be factored into externality studies. However there tends<br />

to be a lot <strong>of</strong> disagreement on the exact quantification <strong>of</strong> externalities. It is clear that<br />

externality studies can not be regarded as homogenous. It is therefore advisable to indicate a<br />

spread <strong>of</strong> external <strong>costs</strong> which would vary with local conditions. Moreira expressed broad<br />

agreement with this point <strong>and</strong> went on to propose that the development <strong>of</strong> common<br />

methodologies be initiated with simple factors such as the means <strong>of</strong> defining the cost <strong>of</strong> a job<br />

opportunity, <strong>and</strong> using these methodologies to provide macro guidance for all studies.<br />

• Oliver Headley commented that the break point for the impact <strong>of</strong> GHG emissions in the<br />

atmosphere did not appear to have been considered. The implications were substantial <strong>and</strong><br />

dramatic technological decisions needed to be made urgently. In the absence <strong>of</strong> well defined<br />

renewable energy uptake strategies, technologies such as nuclear power were preferable to<br />

ones which emitted GHGs. In the same way that nuclear energy development was largely<br />

driven by political considerations, the uptake <strong>of</strong> renewables also required political<br />

intervention.<br />

During the general discussion the following general points were made:<br />

• Steve Lennon commented that South African experience, based on the photovoltaic<br />

electrification <strong>of</strong> in excess <strong>of</strong> 1500 rural schools <strong>and</strong> clinics, as well as a relatively new solar<br />

home system programme for rural communities, indicated substantial ancillary <strong>benefits</strong> for<br />

the renewables sector. In particular <strong>benefits</strong> can be ensured from the implementation <strong>of</strong> new<br />

renewable energy technology in cost-effective niche applications. These <strong>benefits</strong> include:<br />

- Unit cost reduction as installations increase. This is aided if innovative financing options<br />

are developed, including: micro lending schemes <strong>and</strong> utility scale, long- term financing.<br />

- The development <strong>of</strong> the local PV industry <strong>and</strong> infrastructure.<br />

- The development <strong>of</strong> local small businesses for system installation <strong>and</strong> maintenance.<br />

- An enhanced market for low electricity consumption end use electro-technologies for<br />

domestic <strong>and</strong> community application.<br />

- Small business development in electrified communities.<br />

- Social, education, health <strong>and</strong> community usage <strong>benefits</strong>.<br />

It was however stressed that continuity <strong>of</strong> such programmes is essential to ensure<br />

sustainability <strong>and</strong> to avoid the loss <strong>of</strong> confidence in the market <strong>and</strong> weakening <strong>of</strong> the support<br />

infrastructure.<br />

• Ogun Davidson agreed with the need for continuity <strong>of</strong> programmes, highlighting the strong<br />

potential for ancillary <strong>benefits</strong> being realised in the renewable sector, especially when<br />

applied for rural development. He also stresses the need for continuity in both the industry as<br />

well as in support for the technology once installed. Without this continuity the technology<br />

<strong>and</strong> related development programmes will not be sustainable.<br />

• Steve Lennon further indicated that the large-scale implementation <strong>of</strong> renewables technology<br />

in a developing country requires the parallel development <strong>of</strong> a technological support<br />

infrastructure; not only skills, but also industrial, R&D <strong>and</strong> institutional infrastructure. It<br />

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