sectoral economic costs and benefits of ghg mitigation - IPCC
sectoral economic costs and benefits of ghg mitigation - IPCC
sectoral economic costs and benefits of ghg mitigation - IPCC
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Ranjan K. Bose<br />
The Indian <strong>and</strong> Bangladesh study have estimated the carbon abatement cost by considering only<br />
CO 2 <strong>and</strong> not the other GHG gases (namely, CH 2 <strong>and</strong> N 2 0). The Indian study on pair-wise<br />
comparison <strong>of</strong> measures concluded that several ‘no-regret’ options were available with negative<br />
cost <strong>of</strong> carbon abatement, which varies between $263 to $16. For instance, retr<strong>of</strong>it measures in<br />
old passenger cars <strong>and</strong> buses with CNG kit as well as dedicated CNG vehicles are attractive<br />
options in terms <strong>of</strong> cost savings <strong>and</strong> carbon emissions reduction (Table 3). But a shift from 2-<br />
stroke to a 4-stroke engine scooter would require an additional abatement cost <strong>of</strong> $102 per tonne<br />
<strong>of</strong> carbon.<br />
Table 3<br />
Average cost <strong>of</strong> carbon abatement using pairwise comparison <strong>of</strong> different<br />
options ($/tC)<br />
Description India 1 Bangladesh 1 Rep. <strong>of</strong> Korea 2<br />
Year <strong>of</strong> constant ($) 2000 1990 1995<br />
Discount rate 12% 8% 8.5%<br />
Diesel bus retr<strong>of</strong>itted with CNG -22 -125 -<br />
Dedicated CNG bus -16 - -<br />
Gasoline car retr<strong>of</strong>itted with CNG -139 - -<br />
Dedicated CNG car -263 - -<br />
4-stroke two wheelers with catalytic 102 - -<br />
converters<br />
Shift from road to rail - 29 -<br />
Shift from road to water - -642 -<br />
Mass transit system (only buses) - -301 -<br />
Lean burn engine - - -150.33<br />
Weight reduction vehicles - - 10.27<br />
Cont. Variable Transmission - - -1311.57<br />
Electric vehicles - - 9209.20<br />
CNG dedicated vehicles - - 3731.57<br />
LPG dedicated vehicles - - 1344.93<br />
Exclusive lanes for buses - - -235.40<br />
1 Abatement <strong>costs</strong> are in terms <strong>of</strong> CO 2 emissions alone.<br />
2 Abatement <strong>costs</strong> are in CO 2 equivalent by applying GWP: CO 2 =1, CH 4 =21, N 2 0=310.<br />
The Bangladesh study reveals that shift from road based transportation to water based would be a<br />
‘no-regret’ option with a very high negative cost <strong>of</strong> carbon abatement ($642 per t <strong>of</strong> carbon).<br />
Similarly, shift from use <strong>of</strong> personal vehicles to mass transit system (with only use <strong>of</strong> buses) is a<br />
‘no-regret’ option with cost savings <strong>of</strong> $301 for each tonne <strong>of</strong> carbon abated. Like in India,<br />
Bangladesh study also reveals a negative cost <strong>of</strong> carbon abatement ($125 per tonne <strong>of</strong> carbon) if<br />
the old diesel buses are retr<strong>of</strong>itted with CNG. But, a shift from road traffic to rail traffic in<br />
Bangladesh would require an additional cost <strong>of</strong> $29 per tonne <strong>of</strong> carbon <strong>mitigation</strong>.<br />
The Korean study has estimated carbon abatement cost by considering the global warming<br />
potential (GWP) factors <strong>of</strong> GHGs as recommended by the <strong>IPCC</strong>. CO 2 has been assigned the<br />
lowest weight while N 2 0 the highest weight. The Korean study also concluded that several ‘noregret’<br />
options were available, including use <strong>of</strong> continuously variable transmission, provision <strong>of</strong><br />
exclusive bus lanes <strong>and</strong> introduction <strong>of</strong> lean-burn engines. The respective average abatement<br />
<strong>costs</strong> <strong>of</strong> which are estimated at $1312, $235 <strong>and</strong> $150 per tonne <strong>of</strong> carbon abated (Table 3). For<br />
other <strong>mitigation</strong> options, e.g., the introduction <strong>of</strong> vehicles powered with LPG, CNG, <strong>and</strong><br />
electricity, the cost effectiveness is very low. It may be noted that the prioritization <strong>of</strong> emitted<br />
pollutants as GHGs must be according to their GWP, which puts a heavy weight on gases that<br />
play little or no role in urban air pollution control programmes.<br />
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