sectoral economic costs and benefits of ghg mitigation - IPCC
sectoral economic costs and benefits of ghg mitigation - IPCC
sectoral economic costs and benefits of ghg mitigation - IPCC
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José R. Moreira<br />
Discussion: Biomass Energy Externalities<br />
José R. Moreira<br />
1 General<br />
Recent information (TAR, 1999; WEA, 2000) claims that 2% <strong>of</strong> the world energy supply is being<br />
provided by non-traditional renewable energy sources. They include:<br />
• liquid fuel from biomass;<br />
• biomass co-combustion;<br />
• wind energy;<br />
• solar thermal for heat <strong>and</strong> electricity;<br />
• solar photovoltaic;<br />
• methane production from solid <strong>and</strong> liquid residues <strong>and</strong> waste;<br />
• thermal generation from biomass;<br />
• small hydro electric plants.<br />
A gross accounting <strong>of</strong> the investment cost to supply energy to the world (Nakicenovic et al, 1998)<br />
shows that to support an increase <strong>of</strong> 2% / year, which means 80% increase in the period 1990-2020<br />
(320EJ) requires 14-18 trillion US$ or (14-18/320EJ) 44-56 billion /EJ. Presently, 8EJ are being<br />
generated by non-traditional renewable energy sources which would dem<strong>and</strong>ed 352-450 US$<br />
billion in investments, based in the average figure quoted above. Considering the amount <strong>of</strong> money<br />
invested in R&D in this sector (which is 20 billion)(SAR,1996) we can say that the result is<br />
remarkable.<br />
Another conclusion is that the investment has not been supported by grants <strong>and</strong> low cost money<br />
only. A significant share <strong>of</strong> the investment was made with private capital <strong>and</strong> should provide<br />
gains.<br />
2 Are the Private Costs the Only Aspect to Consider?<br />
Relatively abundant literature exists today with the purpose to evaluate other <strong>costs</strong> not directly<br />
charged on the price <strong>of</strong> energy but which are being paid by society. Payment by society is unfair,<br />
since major energy users are subsidized by the minor ones. Such <strong>costs</strong> are called externalities.<br />
Major externalities being evaluated account for the cost <strong>of</strong> local air-pollution, global air-pollution,<br />
water contamination, health impacts <strong>and</strong> others. Externalities which are poorly accounted for are<br />
the creation <strong>of</strong> new job opportunities <strong>and</strong> the reduction on country external debt.<br />
Externalities evaluation cost is complex <strong>and</strong> requires much more R&D efforts. Presently, results<br />
from studies are so different that they represent a motivation for decision-makers avoiding to take<br />
any decision. Top down <strong>and</strong> bottom up approaches claim different advantages <strong>and</strong> difficulties, <strong>and</strong><br />
present unsatisfactory agreement.<br />
Even so, it is worthwhile to quote some data regarding external <strong>costs</strong> as a way <strong>of</strong> calling the<br />
attention <strong>of</strong> researchers <strong>and</strong> decision maker for the importance <strong>and</strong> size <strong>of</strong> them.<br />
A) USA Indirect Pr<strong>of</strong>it from Ethanol Production.<br />
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