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MAP Technical Reports Series No. 106 UNEP

MAP Technical Reports Series No. 106 UNEP

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- 58 -<br />

representing about 50 to 60% of the Mediterranean bound basin. To use these figures for nutrient<br />

load estimates it is assumed that the export coefficients for nitrogen and phosphorus calculated<br />

for the 4 Italian rivers plus the Rhône are true for the whole Mediterranean. The respective river<br />

nitrogen and phosphorus load estimates are listed according to the 10 Mediterranean basins<br />

defined by <strong>UNEP</strong> (cf. Table 14).<br />

While the individual figures appear to be reasonably correct for rivers of the <strong>No</strong>rthern<br />

arc, they are very uncertain for rivers of other regions. Difficult to assess are figures from<br />

countries that drain only partially into the Mediterranean and/or having large badly drained<br />

unproductive areas (e.g., wadies). Therefore, the single estimates may not be too precise, but<br />

the respective totals, excluding the Nile, would amount to about 1 million t/y for nitrogen, and to<br />

0.14 million t/y for phosphorus.<br />

Further the effect of large irrigation systems, as installed in several Mediterranean<br />

countries, on nutrient export is difficult to assess without actual measurements. Thus, it is<br />

impossible to say what the effects on nutrient discharges to the Mediterranean of the Asswan<br />

High Dam construction, the closure of one Nile arm, and the changes in agricultural practice of<br />

Egypt have been. The highly developed millennium old irrigation system that drains mostly into<br />

the <strong>No</strong>rthern delta lakes acts largely as sinks for phosphorus and nitrogen. On the other hand,<br />

the Egyptian use of fertilizers has dramatically stepped up over recent decades (cf. Table 9).<br />

Elster and Vollenweider (1961) and Vollenweider and Samaan (1972), studying L. Mariout, L.<br />

Edku and the <strong>No</strong>usha Hydrodrome found this latter to be still oligo-mesotrophic by 1957-59, while<br />

Mariout receiving untreated city waters from part of Alexandria was already hypertrophic. On the<br />

other hand, the trophic conditions of <strong>No</strong>usha Hydrodrome, which receives land drainage waters,<br />

have meanwhile strongly deteriorated. Thus it is possible that though the average water<br />

discharge of the Nile has decreased substantially, concentrations have increased, but probably<br />

not to the point of balancing the former nutrient load.<br />

Regarding total loads, a source of uncertainty are direct discharges into marine waters<br />

from coastal cities and municipalities that are not draining into major rivers. On the other hand,<br />

the estimated totals of nutrients from river discharges are reasonably in agreement with the<br />

above model estimates, which, taken at face value, would largely confirm the figures obtained<br />

with different methodologies.<br />

The <strong>UNEP</strong> (1984) estimates for 1976. Based on very scanty data, a <strong>UNEP</strong> expert group<br />

that met twice in 1976, estimated a nitrogen load from resident population and rivers discharging<br />

to the Mediterranean of 800,000 to 1,200,000 t/y, and correspondingly a phosphorus load of<br />

260,000 to 460,000 t/y. While the fractional load estimates of the coastal population (44 millions)<br />

+ industry and agriculture ( ca. 200,000 t/ of nitrogen; 57,000 t/y of phosphorus) are reasonably<br />

comparable to the way of our estimates, the indirect load estimates that would result from the<br />

river drained hinterland are likely to be on the low side for nitrogen (600,000 to 1,000,000 t), but<br />

clearly in excess for phosphorus (200,000 to 400,000 t) compared to our estimates. The<br />

respective average river N/P load would be around 2.5 to 3, which in no way is supported by<br />

direct estimates and measurements. Accordingly, also the exchange load estimates between<br />

the Mediterranean and the Atlantic through the Strait of Gibraltar made by Béthoux (cf. below),<br />

are questionable.<br />

d) Aeolian depositions<br />

Beside nutrient supply to marine waters by rivers and direct discharges, aeolian<br />

deposition of nitrogen, phosphorus and other inorganic and organic trace species transported<br />

by air currents from land locked sources has increased over recent decades over the

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