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employment relations and health inequalities: a conceptual and empirical overvieW<br />

Case study 17. Do health inequalities increase when employment grows - José a. tapia granados<br />

recent research has proved the counterintuitive fact that, for the evolution of mortality rates, periods in which the economy<br />

expands, jobs are created, and unemployment drops, are worse than economic downturns in which jobs disappear and unemployment<br />

grows. death rates tend to increase in expansions and decrease in recessions (gerdtham & ruhm, 2006; tapia granados, 2005; 2008;<br />

tapia granados & ionides, 2008; ortega osona & reher, 1997; abdala, geldstein, & mychaszula, 2000). in the united states, a one<br />

percentage point reduction in unemployment is predicted to increase coronary heart disease mortality by 0.75 per cent, corresponding<br />

to almost 3900 additional fatalities (ruhm, 2007). atmospheric pollution, consumption of harmful substances or foods, and the<br />

worsening of quality of life and working conditions when economic activity accelerates have been suggested as potential links between<br />

the economy and changes in mortality. in the united states, in the last decades of the 20th century, the death rates of females and<br />

nonwhites seem to be substantially more linked to the fluctuations of the economy than those of males and whites (tapia granados,<br />

2005). using the u.s. national longitudinal mortality study it has been found that during the 1980s, <strong>low</strong>-income and <strong>low</strong>-education<br />

groups may have been disproportionately at risk during periods of increased economic activity (edwards, 2006). mortality increases<br />

during expansions seemed to be greater among those who were working than among those who were not, and it appeared greater in<br />

african americans than in whites, though the increase in mortality was much smaller in the top third of family income. in general, high<br />

income seemed to be protective against rising mortality during economic expansions. additional evidence suggesting that health<br />

inequalities may increase during economic expansions rather than during recessions is provided by a study of mortality at working ages<br />

35-64 in Finland (valkonen et al., 2000). during the years 1981-1995 (see Figure), which included an economic expansion (1981-1990)<br />

and a strong recession (1991-1995), the mortality of women in manual work occupations is flat, though showing a slight (not statistically<br />

significant) tendency to rise during the expansion, while the mortality of women in non-manual occupations decreased significantly in<br />

that period. during the expansionary 1980s, the manual/non-manual gap in female mortality clearly widened. during the recession,<br />

female mortality significantly dropped in both groups. male mortality was manifestly falling throughout the whole period, but for manual<br />

occupations the decline was s<strong>low</strong> during expansion and accelerated significantly with the downturn. the mortality of men in nonmanual<br />

occupations seemed to fall at a slightly faster rate during the expansionary years, than in the recessionary 1990s. mortality<br />

overall evolved for the better during the recession than during the expansion, and if the health inequality gaps are widening in any<br />

period, it seems to be precisely during the expansion years.<br />

Figure. evolution of annual agestandardized<br />

mortality at ages 35-64<br />

(per 100,000 population), by sex and<br />

social class, Finland, 1981-1995.<br />

1000<br />

900<br />

800<br />

Men, manual<br />

straight segments are regression lines (slopes<br />

with standard errors are indicated) computed<br />

with the data corresponding to the expansion<br />

(1981-1990) or recession years (1991-1995) of the<br />

period considered.<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

EXPanSIOn<br />

rECESSIOn<br />

Men, non manual<br />

Women, manual<br />

Women, non manual<br />

0<br />

1981<br />

1982<br />

1983<br />

1984<br />

1985<br />

1986<br />

1987<br />

1988<br />

1989<br />

1990<br />

1991<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

Computed from data used in<br />

Valkonen et al., 2000<br />

References<br />

abdala, F., geldstein, r. n., & mychaszula, s. m. (2000). economic reestructuring and mortality changes in argentina-is<br />

there any connection. in g. a. cornia & r. paniccià (eds.), The mortality crisis in transitional economies (pp. 328-350).<br />

new york: oxford university press.<br />

edwards, r. d. (2006). Who is hurt by procyclical mortality proceedings from the 2006 annual meeting of the population<br />

association of america. los angeles, 2006.<br />

gerdtham, u. g., & ruhm, c. J. (2006). deaths rise in good economic times: evidence from the oecd. Economics and Human<br />

Biology, 4, 298-316.<br />

147

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