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EMployMEnT, worK, and HEalTH inEqualiTiEs - a global perspective<br />

10<br />

358<br />

The impacT of The recenT economic crisis<br />

although neo-liberalism and the deregulation of the financial sector<br />

have barely been criticised in public health (muntaner, Lynch, &<br />

smith, 2001; Benach & muntaner, 2005), the magnitude of class<br />

inequalities and the rate at which they have increased have been<br />

fuelled by 30 years of these policies. in 2008, the melt-down in the<br />

financial sector, which arose from speculative investment practices<br />

(themselves a symptom of much deeper structural problems),<br />

rapidly impacted the economies of both rich and poor countries.<br />

While the exact extent and likely length of the economic recession<br />

are still unknown, it is now being acknowledged as the greatest<br />

upheaval since the Great Depression of the 1930s. in our own view,<br />

parallels with the Great Depression, such as significant levels of<br />

unemployment and large-scale human misery, will only grow<br />

stronger as events unfold. The economic crisis is relevant to the<br />

issues presented in this book on a number of grounds.<br />

first and most obviously, the global economic crisis is<br />

contributing to a growth of unemployment (and under-employment)<br />

and employment arrangements that we have identified as healthdamaging<br />

in this book. The economic crisis that came to the world’s<br />

forefront in september 2008 has dramatically increased the number<br />

of unemployed people. in its most recent Key indicators of the Labour<br />

market (KiLm) (iLo, 2009a), the iLo projected that global<br />

unemployment could increase by up to 61 million people between<br />

2007 and 2009, while the number of vulnerable workers and those at<br />

risk of slipping into poverty could increase by 108 million and 222<br />

million respectively. The negative social, economic and health<br />

impacts of these changes will be greatest in poorer countries, where<br />

few of the working age population can afford not to work, there is<br />

little or no income support or welfare, and often heavily indebted<br />

governments have been least able to fund labour market stimulus<br />

packages (cazes, Verick, & heuer, 2009: 10). according to the iLo,<br />

the number of working poor may rise to up to 1.4 billion, or 45 per<br />

cent of all the world’s employed, while the proportion of people in<br />

vulnerable employment could rise considerably to a level of 53 per<br />

cent of the employed population (iLo, 2009a; 2009b). even neo-liberal<br />

agencies like the organization for economic cooperation and<br />

Development (oecD) have been obliged to continuously revise their<br />

estimates of global unemployment upwards in an effort to appear<br />

relevant and informed. By march 2009, the oecD was predicting<br />

unemployment would approach double-digit figures amongst its 30<br />

rich country members by 2010 (o’neil, 2009). in the Us, overall<br />

unemployment reached 9 per cent by march 2009 (and far exceeded

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