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India 2018

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458 <strong>India</strong> <strong>2018</strong><br />

these have been the objectives in earlier Plans, in the current Plan there are<br />

specific monitorable targets, which will need to be attained along with the growth<br />

target.<br />

The Incremental Capital Output Ratio (ICOR) of the economy was expected<br />

to come down to about 3.6 as against 4.5 during the Ninth Plan. This decline in<br />

ICOR was achieved mainly through better utilization of existing capacities and<br />

suitable sectorial allocation of capital and its efficient utilization. The growth<br />

target, therefore, would require an investment rate of 28.4 per cent of GDP. This<br />

requirement was to be met from domestic savings of 26.8 per cent of GDP and<br />

external savings of 1.6 per cent. The bulk of the additional domestic savings will<br />

have to come from reduction in Government dis-saving from -4.5 (2001-02) to<br />

-0.5 per cent (2006-07) of GDP. The average growth rate in the last four years of<br />

the 10th Plan (2003-04 to 2006-07) was little over 8 per cent, making the growth<br />

rate 7.7 per cent for the entire 10th Plan period. Though this was below the target<br />

of 8 per cent, it is the highest growth rate achieved in any Plan period.<br />

Eleventh Plan<br />

The Eleventh Five Year Plan (2007-12) provided a comprehensive strategy for<br />

inclusive development, building on the growing strength of the economy, while<br />

also addressing weaknesses that have surfaced. It set a target for 9 per cent<br />

growth in the five year period with acceleration during the period to reach 10 per<br />

cent by the end of the Plan.<br />

Twelfth Plan<br />

The Twelfth Plan fully recognizes that the objective of development is broadbased<br />

improvement in the economic and social conditions of our people. However,<br />

rapid growth of GDP is an essential requirement for achieving this objective. The<br />

Approach Paper to the Twelfth Plan, had set a target of 9 per cent average growth<br />

of GDP over the Plan period (2012 to 2017). That was before the Euro-zone crisis<br />

in that year triggered a sharp downturn in global economic prospects, and also<br />

before the extent of the slowdown in the domestic economy was known. Twelfth<br />

Plan envisaged that the current slowdown in GDP growth can be reversed<br />

through strong corrective action, including especially an expansion in investment<br />

with a corresponding increase in savings to keep inflationary pressures under<br />

control. However, while our full growth potential remains around 9 per cent,<br />

acceleration to this level can only occur in a phased manner, especially since the<br />

global economy is expected to remain weak for the first half of the Plan period.<br />

Policy Making and Programme<br />

Closure of Sick Central Public Sector Enterprises<br />

The Aayog launched a two-layer process whereby a committee headed by the<br />

CEO undertook a detailed analysis of the sick CPSEs with the assistance of the<br />

National Institute for Public Finance and Policy. This committee reported its<br />

findings to a committee headed by the Vice Chairman. A report was prepared<br />

with the recommendations and sent to the PMO. A decision was then made by<br />

the Cabinet to close several sick CPSEs.

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