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Walia Special Edition on the Bale Mountains (2011) - Zoologische ...

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The MODIS MCD45A1 products came in Hierarchical data (.hdf) file formats and Sinusoidal<br />

projecti<strong>on</strong>, this file format is not suitable to work <strong>on</strong> ArcGIS and Erdas Imagine softwares. The<br />

Projecti<strong>on</strong> is also not compatible for our database projecti<strong>on</strong>. Hence <strong>the</strong> .hdf file was c<strong>on</strong>verted<br />

to geotiff (.tiff) file formats and <strong>the</strong> projecti<strong>on</strong> was reprojected to World Geological Survey 1984<br />

(WGS 84) datum and UTM Z<strong>on</strong>e 37N projecti<strong>on</strong> status using <strong>the</strong> MODIS reprojecti<strong>on</strong> tool. Then<br />

<strong>the</strong> subset for <strong>the</strong> area of <strong>the</strong> park was extracted from <strong>the</strong> MODIS image as we did for <strong>the</strong> SPOT<br />

image.<br />

Data analysis<br />

M<strong>on</strong>thly data collected from MODIS were merged to create each fire seas<strong>on</strong> so that <strong>the</strong>y could be<br />

analysed independently. A fire seas<strong>on</strong> was defined as October-December in year t, plus January-May<br />

in year t+1. In this study <strong>the</strong>refore we had a total of nine fire seas<strong>on</strong>s - 1999/2000 (incorporating<br />

Jan-May 2000 <strong>on</strong>ly), 2000/2001, 2001/2002 etc. up to 2007/2008. In order to validate MODIS<br />

images, images from 2008 were used al<strong>on</strong>g with <strong>the</strong> 2 m resoluti<strong>on</strong> SPOT image and field data<br />

collected in 2008. A total of 3097 GPS points of burnt areas in <strong>the</strong> park were taken between March<br />

and April 2008. The GPS points were taken following <strong>the</strong> perimeter of a burnt area. A polyg<strong>on</strong> of <strong>the</strong><br />

burnt areas from <strong>the</strong>se GPS points was <strong>the</strong>n generated using xTools Pro (vector data management<br />

extensi<strong>on</strong> to ArcGIS). Using <strong>the</strong>se polyg<strong>on</strong>s as signatures <strong>the</strong> Spot image was <strong>the</strong>n classified into<br />

burnt and n<strong>on</strong> burnt areas. Corresp<strong>on</strong>ding MODIS images were <strong>the</strong>n overlaid <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> classified 2008<br />

image and visually assessed to ensure <strong>the</strong>y overlapped as well as using <strong>the</strong> MODIS quality assurance<br />

data to ensure reliability of fire detecti<strong>on</strong>.<br />

Fire frequency and extent<br />

The total number and extent of fires were calculated by counting <strong>the</strong> number of fire polyg<strong>on</strong>s in<br />

each of <strong>the</strong> MODIS fire seas<strong>on</strong>s and determining <strong>the</strong> total area of each polyg<strong>on</strong>, respectively. Each<br />

fire seas<strong>on</strong> was <strong>the</strong>n overlaid <strong>on</strong> different maps classifying vegetati<strong>on</strong> and soil type, altitudinal belt<br />

and distance buffers to roads and settlements and frequency and extent were calculated as described<br />

above. For vegetati<strong>on</strong>, a number of different vegetati<strong>on</strong> types could occur in <strong>on</strong>e polyg<strong>on</strong>, if this was<br />

<strong>the</strong> case <strong>on</strong>e fire would be c<strong>on</strong>sidered occurring in each of <strong>the</strong> vegetati<strong>on</strong> types, c<strong>on</strong>sequently each<br />

of <strong>the</strong> polyg<strong>on</strong>s <strong>the</strong>refore would also have a specific area burnt for each of those vegetati<strong>on</strong> types<br />

occurring in that polyg<strong>on</strong>. Unlike vegetati<strong>on</strong>, since <strong>the</strong> boundaries of o<strong>the</strong>r classes were generally<br />

easier to define, <strong>the</strong> dominant soil, altitudinal belt and buffer were used.<br />

When <strong>the</strong> data were normally distributed a repeated measures ANOVA was used to determine<br />

differences between each of <strong>the</strong> classes in ei<strong>the</strong>r frequency or extent. If data were not normally<br />

distributed a Freidman’s repeated measure analysis was carried out.<br />

A B<strong>on</strong>fer<strong>on</strong>i’s c<strong>on</strong>fidence interval procedure (Neu et al. 1974) was used to see if <strong>the</strong> frequency<br />

of fires occurring were in proporti<strong>on</strong> to <strong>the</strong> area available. This gives an indicati<strong>on</strong> if vegetati<strong>on</strong><br />

or soil types etc. were burnt more, less or as expected given <strong>the</strong>ir respective areas available. We<br />

<strong>the</strong>n assumed that those that were burnt more than expected were brunt preferentially over o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

vegetati<strong>on</strong>/soil/altitudinal types and those burnt less than expected were generally avoided.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Walia</str<strong>on</strong>g>-<str<strong>on</strong>g>Special</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Editi<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Bale</strong> <strong>Mountains</strong> 148

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